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MUSIC.
JONATHAN BEALE: In 1997 the country turned its
back on a party that was out of touch. These images of defeat will be
hard to erase. But the Conservatives are looking hopefully into the future.
The party is now in the process of choosing its prospective parliamentary
candidates, it's a chance to widen its appeal. The future though looks
mostly white, Euro-sceptic and male.
ANGELA GUILLAME: I'm afraid that in many cases
there is a view that that women perhaps should not be doing this job, that
Conservative women are not suitable for politics. I regret to say that
enormously because it's an absurd thing even to think.
LORD TEBBIT: If I were to be advising a
cynical young man - a chap like say Tony Blair - on how to get on in politics
and he had decided to join the Conservative Party rather than the Labour
Party, I would say to him you must be a Euro-sceptic . It's as simple as
that.
BEALE: Peter Bone believes he's
the future of Toryism. He also happens to be male, white and Euro-sceptic.
He's been selected to fight Wellingborough by local party activists -
and they're already out campaigning for him. Labour has a slender majority
here. But Peter Bone believes Europe will be the deciding factor to win
the seat back for the Conservatives.
PETER BONE: You can argue that we lost
the seat because of the UK Independence Party's intervention. Now, I want
to reach out and bring those people into our fold because I believe that
ninety per cent of those people are natural Conservative voters, but on
the national stage there cannot be a more important issue than whether
we are part of a European state or whether we retain our sovereignty
BEALE: In Kensington and Chelsea
another Euro-sceptic has just been chosen to fight a by-election. But
out campaigning for Michael Portillo is a pro European. Damian Garrido
is also looking for selection. He knows his views may not go down well
with some Tory associations. So far they certainly haven't opened many
doors.
DAMIAN GARRIDO: The danger for the Conservative
Party in only having parliamentary candidates who are hostile to the European
Union is that the party will only appeal to a small number of the British
electorate for who being hostile to Europe is an important issue and it
will turn off the vast majority of people
BEALE: Under William Hague's leadership
the Conservative Party has taken a tough stance on Europe, ruling out membership
of a single currency for this parliament and the next. But On The Record
can reveal that the party's new Parliamentary candidates take an even harder
line. A glance into the future shows a party that may rule out the single
currency for ever:
In a survey for On The
Record we asked new Tory prospective Parliamentary candidates to respond
to the statement: 'Joining the Single Currency will end the UK as a sovereign
nation?' Fifty-five of sixty-five candidates took part. Forty-three
of them agreed membership would take away sovereignty. That's seventy-eight
per cent, only two disagreed, just four per cent, ten said neither.
When that same statement
was put to seventy Tory backbench MPs in a separate academic survey, forty-six
agreed that joining the single currency would end sovereignty. That's sixty-six
per cent. Twenty disagreed, just twenty-eight per cent, four said neither.
BONE: I would say eighty per cent
of the British people support our view that we want to be in the European
Union, but we don't want to become part of a European Socialist super state
and that we want nothing to do with the single European Currency.
GARRIDO: There are a number of
pointers that we may be selecting too narrower a bunch of candidates for
the next election. There's your own survey for example, which tests people's
views about the Euro, about the sovereignty of the United Kingdom and its
role within the European Union. And those results give a worrying indication
that too narrow a band of people are being selected.
BEALE: But what will the Tory Party
of tomorrow feel about membership of the European Union itself. The leadership
has made clear that withdrawal is not being considered. But when weighing
up Britain's membership, many new candidates are not convinced of the
advantages. It raises the question as to whether the Tory party of the
future will one day press for Britain to leave the EU.
The academic survey of
current Tory MPs shows there's already strong doubts about the benefits
of EU membership. When the seventy MPs were asked to consider the statement:
'The disadvantages of EU membership have been outweighed by the benefits'
twenty-nine disagreed, that's forty-two per cent. Twenty-six agreed the
benefits were greater, thirty-seven per cent, fifteen said neither was
true. The view among the prospective parliamentary candidates is just as
strong. When asked to consider the same statement, twenty-four disagreed,
believing the disadvantages were greater. That's forty-four per cent. Eighteen
or thirty-three per cent thought the benefits outweighed the disadvantages,
thirteen thought neither was true.
But candidates who expressed
the more Euro-sceptical view are getting selected may only be a mirror
image of the party's grassroots. They after all have the final say in
selection meetings. And their views on the single currency are clear:
ACTUALITY: Because if you get rid of the
pound we're going to lose out again. We lost out when we were decimalised.'
BEALE: But Tory Central Office
says the party is still a broad church:
DAMIAN GREEN MP: I'm a member of the positive European
group and I don't hide that fact and don't feel the need to, I've never
trimmed my views and I've been appointed to the Front Bench by William
Hague. Or you can hold the views that are much more Euro-sceptic than mine
and still be loyal to party policy. It seems to me overwhelmingly sensible
that precisely because the issue of Europe is so complex and people across
parties hold a range of views on it that the Conservative Party will continue
to have in its ranks people who do hold a wide range of views on it.
TEBBIT: I think the block on Europhile
Conservatives getting into Parliament is not in Central Office it's in
the constituencies. Where the constituency parties are simply not adopting
Europhile candidates and that's as it should be.
BEALE: The real test will be whether
these candidates reflect the views of the electorate they want to represent.
Opinion polls show that the majority of the public oppose membership
of the single currency. But pollsters also point out that most people
put other issues higher up the political agenda. As Peter Bone is finding
out in a local pub:
ACTUALITY
IAN TAYLOR MP: Europe is not the key issue
on which people vote. So if we allow ourselves to be dragged off the centre
ground by appearing to be extremist on this big issue, the public will
think that we're probably extreme in other issues too and it will leave
us in opposition.
BEALE: The Conservatives are not
just in danger of being perceived as a party dominated by one issue, but
also a party that's dominated by men. The leadership says it wants more
women MPs, but so far the list of new candidates suggest that the Tory
Party of the future will fail to increase their number significantly.
Only one sixth of the
candidates who've been selected are women. Those who've tried and failed
say prejudice in Tory associations is preventing more women from becoming
MPs.
GUILLAME: The problem I think is
that at selection committees questions are asked which wouldn't be asked
of men. I mean I was once asked on seeing that we sail quite a lot whether
I obeyed my husband on board our boat.
GREEN: We ought to have more women
MPs. And what the problem being that we don't want to go down the route
of quotas that the Labour Party went down and not least because many colleagues
who are women MPs don't want to go down that route and so I hope that Selection
Committees will find that the many good women candidates out there do get
selected for winnable seats. But you know, who are I to talk.
BEALE: The Tory Party is predominantly
a man's world. But this week a group of Tory women will publish a paper
in conjunction with the Centre for Policy Studies calling on the party
to take urgent action. They want thirty per cent of candidates to be women
at the next election.
What is the danger for
the party in electoral terms if you do not have more women candidates?
GUILLAME: Oh we'll become unelectable.
I mean it's the women of this country that have kept the Conservatives
in power. If women during this century had voted in the same way as men
the Conservatives would not have been in power as often as they have.
BEALE: Certain groups and individuals
may feel left on the fringes, but they haven't given up the fight. This
meeting with MPs from the centre ground is attracting a new generation
of student activists. The party leadership too realises it must l fight
the next election on a broad range of issues that will unite the party;
and it must hope the activists remember to do the same.
GARRIDO: It's now up to the constituency
parties to make sure they provide William Hague and the Conservative Party
with a broad balanced parliamentary party after the next general election
and they must rise to that challenge.
BEALE: There is still time to broaden
the party's appeal before the General Election. But so far the Conservatives
have yet to offer a vision of the future that will reflect the views of
the whole party yet alone the electorate they want to represent.
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