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HUMPHRYS: The one thing that all Europe's leaders
have been agreed upon over the years is that the Union should be enlarged
to embrace countries who had been in the communist fold. At least that's
what they all said. Now it all looks a lot more complicated. The time
has come for them to begin the process which will bring the outsiders inside.
But as Paola Buonadonna reports some of the leaders of the most important
countries are beginning to lose their nerve.
PAOLA BUONADONNA: Prague -- the capital of one of
the most successful countries of the former Warsaw Pact. Together with
Poland and Hungary the Czech Republic is one of six new democracies on
a fast-track to join the European Union, with another six countries waiting
to begin negotiations. But despite all their efforts to meet the stringent
EU membership criteria the Czechs like other Eastern European applicants
are still waiting for a firm entry date. Its people are beginning to doubt
the commitment of EU leaders to enlargement and warn that the absence of
a target date may put the entire project in jeopardy.
PAVEL TELICKA: I think it would have dire consequences,
I think it would have considerable concerns for confidence in Europe. There
would be a lack of confidence and that would be the feeling of a different
treatment of the countries that were behind the Iron Curtain. In fact to
some extent it would keep the division line in Europe artificially.
KEITH VAZ MP: There is a danger on picking dates
just to make people feel better. What we want is just good, proper negotiations
that will give a lasting solution to the problems that these countries
have.
LORD WALLACE: We are endangering the stability of
their societies and of their state - also damaging their economies because
foreign investment will flow into countries when they have the guarantee
of access to the integrated West European market. So it would be extremely
damaging to delay too long and disastrous to say no.
BUONADONNA: November nineteen-eighty-nine. For
democracy leaders Vaclav Havel and Alexanda Dubcek. address their people
in Wenceslas Square in Prague. .It's the start of the so-called Velvet
Revolution. Within days they had won., without a single shot being fired.
Dubcek calls for the country to break out from four decades of forced isolation
and rejoin the rest of Europe.
It's ten years almost to the day since
the Velvet Revolution replaced the communist regime with a democratic government
here in Prague and in that time the country has embarked on a painful programme
of modernisation. Next week European Union leaders are expected to give
a boost to the enlargement process. The Helsinki summit will declare that
membership negotiations will now open with all 12 candidate countries.
Enlargement is Europe's most ambitious
strategic project for the next decade. The European Union plans to bring
in Eastern European and Baltic countries as well as Cyprus. Instead of
15 member states there would be 27 nations with 500 million people. Turkey.
is also pushing for entry and could one day be included. This huge area
would be one single market, and eventually might share a single currency.
After years of conflict in the Balkans an enlarged Europe, it is argued,
would bring security and stability to the whole region.
Although the Czech economy has slowed
down recently the country is doing its best to promote enterprise and attract
much needed foreign investment. This Prague hypermarket, doing brisk business
even on a Sunday is part of the Tesco chain. The company has already opened
80 stores in Eastern European countries, including 13 in the Czech Republic
and Slovakia. Enlargement would offer the opportunity to re integrate the
Czech economy with the rest of Europe.
PAVEL TELICKA: We were among the most developed countries
in the world before the Second World War, and we see it as an opportunity,
as an opportunity to break down completely the heritage of isolation, to
be able to contribute to the development in Europe, to contribute to where
the European Union or European integration is heading. It is an opportunity
to influence issues, decisions, norms which have an impact on us, but as
an outsider, as a non-member we can't influence.
BUONADONNA: Every glass manufactured in this Czech
factory in the past century has been produced entirely by hand. Like many
other businesses it's now having to adjust to the harsh reality of the
free market. It's the same in all the applicant countries: in order to
join the EU they have to reshape their whole economies, trim down their
bureaucracy and privatise their industries. And before these quality goods
can be sold in the Single Market they must make sure that every single
item of EU legislation is brought into their own laws.
GREGOR WOSCHNAGG: They have to change their whole economic
system, the whole social system, and it is not only a question of taking
over the book of rules of the European Union, it's also a question of applying
this book if they have institutions, the courts, the administration to
take care of standards of the European Union.
PAVEL TELICKA: We need to show that we've learnt
the lesson, that we know the problems, we have identified them, we've got
the measures and we intend to implement them. So I think that it would
be wrong for me to try to convince you.. I think that we need to convince
by practice. And I think that in the past few months we have been progressing.
BUONADONNA: It's not just the applicant countries
who need to reform, however. In order to welcome 12 more members without
paralysing the EU the 15 existing members will need to agree to a raft
of major institutional changes. Next year Brussels will host a new Inter
Governmental conference where countries will have to agree to cut down
the number of commissioners, give up the veto in areas such as industrial
policy and environmental taxation and change the voting system so that
bigger countries have more power. With so many vested interests at stake
the process could be long and difficult.
PAAVO LIPPONEN: We need to make amendments in the
basic treaties to ensure that an enlarged union can work, that is, the
decision making functions have to be smoothed out, that's the main task,
also to deepen integration, to ensure that enlargement will not mean diluting
the union.
BUONADONNA: The EU institutions were designed
more than 50 years ago to serve just a handful of countries. To accommodate
more members voting rights will have to reflect more closely the size of
each country and more decisions will have to be taken by Majority Voting.
Most countries in the EU now accept
the argument for enlargement but for the moment are preoccupied with the
particular disadvantages it will each of them. Big countries like France
want to continue to dominate the decision-making in Brussels but smaller
countries such as Belgium and Luxembourg are worried about losing influence
in a wider Union.
LORD WALLACE: There will no doubt have to be some
very hard bargaining next year in which the small states already within
the community, Luxembourg in particular for example, will probably fight
tooth and nail against the idea that each country is not entitled to its
own commissioner or that small countries are not allowed to maintain their
privileges within a larger EU.
GUNTHER VERHEUGEN: I understand that smaller member states
are afraid that they could lose influence but it's a matter of fact that
in the European Union the smaller member states have disproportionally
more influence than bigger member states. If you compare the size of Luxembourg
and the influence that Luxembourg has with the European Union you see clearly
that the smaller member states are privileged and I think that will continue
to be the case.
BUONADONNA: But even if countries don't lose influence
they may lose money. Since joining the European Union in 1986, Spain and
Portugal have enjoyed generous regional subsidies and they're unwilling
to share them with others.
GUNTHER VERHEUGEN: There's only limited amount of money
and certainly after enlargement the average of the income and the wealth
of the European Union will go down and therefore certain regions in the
present member states will not be entitled to get European money.
BUONADONNA: Germany used to be the driving force
behind enlargement but its enthusiasm has been diminished by the cost
of its own reunification. Germans worry that enlargement will open the
floodgates to cheap labour and goods from the new entrants. And that concerns
Austria too.
GREGOR WOSCHNAGG: Our neighbours have around twenty
per cent of the salaries of the Austrian labour so this is a problem of
competition, cheap labour and people may be scared that this may also increase
unemployment in Austria.
BUONADONNA: This Czech town is on the border with
Austria. People here naturally look to the West and for ten years they've
been keen to join the European Union. But every delay in the enlargement
process risks dampening their enthusiasm and without their support the
ambitious programme of reforms could falter.
Telc, a Renaissance jewel, is far
removed from the hustle and bustle of the various capitals where negotiations
go on. But even ordinary people here are acutely aware of the dangers of
delaying enlargement as we discovered when we visited the Samek family.
JAROSLAV SAMEK: I'm worried that it would take long,
you know, and those negotiations which are prolonged indefinitely, so I
think it's very harmful.
INGRID SAMEK: If the target is not clear, if we
don't know, and we if we just hear, okay maybe one day, so I think it's
de-motivating.
MARIA SAMEK: We need to have a clear target, not
a hazy one, you know, because people are then prepared to perhaps work
harder and, you know, to fulfil all those conditions. It's very important
for us.
BUONADONNA: The once buoyant opinions polls in
favour of membership are now beginning to slide in some Eastern European
countries. The majority of Czechs are still in favour of joining the EU
but politicians warn the mood in the country could turn if people felt
that entry was going to be delayed.
GUNTHER VERHEUGEN: It would be a terrible mistake to
think that it doesn't matter when and how we do it. It matters a lot. And
I have to say we probably have only limited time, time is already running
out. We can already see that in some countries the governments and the
parliament are losing the support for the policy of European integration.
What I can say today is that the European
Union is prepared to make the first decisions on accession in 2002. Next
year I think we can produce an accession scenario and can answer the question
of who and when and under which circumstances.
PAAVO LIPPONEN: At the Helsinki summit we will be
setting a date for ourselves when the European Union will be ready to enlarge
maybe by the end of 2002. But on the other hand we wouldn't be setting
a date for the first next accession because that depends on the performance
of the candidate countries.
BUONADONNA: But so far the Union has been slow
to deal with its own reforms and people here don't know who to believe
anymore. The President of the European Commission recently said he wanted
to push ahead with a date for enlargement. But whilst member states keep
proclaiming their enthusiasm they have so far made limited progress.
KEITH VAZ MP: I think we should do everything we
possibly can to encourage them to join as soon as possible so long as our
institutions are ready for them. I don't want to see expectations being
raised in countries like Hungary, Poland and the Czech Republic which are
not met.
LORD WALLACE: I have no doubt that in almost every
single capital of the EU most ministers would like to put enlargement off.
It raises problems, it's difficult, it's easier to deal with domestic problems
that is why the applicant countries have to keep pushing.
PAVEL TELICKA: I think we have to be ambitious and
we have to say that, everyone in this process can work harder than has
been doing so far. And I must say that this is exactly what I would also
expect from the Western European leaders, the leaders of the member states
of the European Union, including the UK.
BUONADONNA: Prague first dreamt of EU membership
on a cold night ten years ago when communism was overthrown. But as another
year is about to end Western European governments have still not set a
target date for entry. Next week's summit in Helsinki will be a small step
forward in what has become an incredibly slow journey towards what seems
a distant prospect. But if it takes too long it could put at risk Europe's
grand ambition of a Union of all its nations.
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