BBC On The Record - Broadcast: 06.02.00



=================================================================================== NB. THIS TRANSCRIPT WAS TYPED FROM A TRANSCRIPTION UNIT RECORDING AND NOT COPIED FROM AN ORIGINAL SCRIPT; BECAUSE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF MIS-HEARING AND THE DIFFICULTY, IN SOME CASES, OF IDENTIFYING INDIVIDUAL SPEAKERS, THE BBC CANNOT VOUCH FOR ITS ACCURACY .................................................................................... ON THE RECORD RECORDED FROM TRANSMISSION: BBC ONE DATE: 06.02.00 .................................................................................... JOHN HUMPHRYS: Good afternoon. There is less than a week to save the Peace Process in Northern Ireland. I'll be asking the Sinn Fein Chairman if it can be done. The first minister of Wales faces a no confidence motion this week. Will he survive? I'll be asking him. And David Blunkett once told us: "Read my lips ... no selection in our schools". Is that what he still says? That's after the news read by Sian Williams. NEWS HUMPHRYS: The government's against grammar schools ... or so it says. But is it changing its mind about selection in education? And Tony Blair's heading for another battle with our European partners, Brussels wants more power but Britain's saying NO. JOHN HUMPHRYS: But first ... Northern Ireland. By Friday the British Government will have the power to suspend the fledgling government in Belfast. It could be the end of the assembly, the executive and all the other bodies that were set up as a result of the Good Friday Agreement. If that does NOT happen, then the Ulster Unionists will bring it down. UNLESS, that is, the IRA can be persuaded to begin the process of getting rid of its weapons. The statement it issued yesterday fell far short of what the Unionists and the government want. So where now? The chairman of Sinn Fein is Mitchel McLaughlin and he's in our Fail studio. Mr McLaughlin, what needs to be done now, to save the peace process? MITCHEL McLAUGHLIN: Well I think people should actually work the political structures to solve the outstanding problems. I think collapsing them is, you know, a totally counterproductive approach. HUMPHRYS: The IRA statement said the issue of arms needs to be dealt with and I quote "in an acceptable way, this will not be on British or Unionist terms". That means, doesn't it, no chance of anything happening this week. McLAUGHLIN: Well I think we need to be careful why we are talking about it this week, because in fact we are giving ourselves a much different timetable to deal with this and we agreed a much different timetable. The crisis is not about the decommissioning issue, with respect, it's about the fact that there is a unilateral threat to walk away from the political process and in response it appears the British government is prepared to enter into default of the Good Friday Agreement to give cover, if you like, to David Trimble, I think that's where the crisis is coming from. HUMPHRYS: Yeah, but it's arisen because the IRA have not even begun the process of getting rid of weapons and we all know that the deadline of getting rid of all of them is May 22nd. That's why we have a crisis and that's why the Ulster Unionists are saying, look something has got to be done. McLAUGHLIN: Well if people want to tear up the political agreement because you know we should remember the wise words of George Mitchell, only in November last, when he said that the one guarantee and no commitments were given as IRA made clear, but the one guarantee that was available to us all is that if we do not have the political institutions there will never be decommissioning. Now not even Peter Mandelson can pretend that this legislation is going to solve that problem of decommissioning, will actually make an already difficult problem an impossible problem in my view. HUMPHRYS: So, to be quite clear about this. If the government is looking for, and this is the expression it uses: 'certainty and clarity' by the end of this week, it is looking in vain, it is not going to happen in your view? McLAUGHLIN: John, I am trying to draw attention to the course of action that Peter Mandelson has set and the very huge implications that has for ever resolving this issue. If we commit ourselves and we all have done so in the Good Friday Agreement to solving these problems through the political process, then we have to protect, we have build up and we have to develop confidence amongst each other that these political structures will work. Now we have only had them for eight weeks and you know everyone recognises that there was default even in setting them up, but to expect after eight weeks that we would have resolved those problems, some of which have been around for many, many generations, that we could solve them in eight weeks is na�ve in the extreme. We should keep our patience, we should keep our nerve and keep working through the political structures and demand of those, including Sinn Fein, we have a mandate that we deliver on all of the expectations. HUMPHRYS: But let's be quite clear. In your view, if it does not happen by the end of the week, if the British government doesn't get this clarity and certainty that it's talking about, then that's it. I mean there is not going to be that clarity and certainty. No question about that by the end of the week, in your view. McLAUGHLIN: Well I mean I think there is going to be clarity in one respect and I think the IRA have actually stated their position very clearly. The British government have acknowledged that there is no default by Sinn Fein, Sinn Fein have made it clear and I think we need clarity from Peter Mandelson, is he consciously, is he deliberately taking the government, the British government outside the terms of an international agreement because if that is the case, then could there be a more disastrous or negative message sent back in to those constituencies who actually have guns, that have control over guns and we have been trying to convince should actually surrender those guns, should consider destroying those guns in the interest of a democratic settlement? The British government, I think, are making a very, very serious mistake under the blackmail of effective withdrawal by the Unionists and that really is where the crisis is coming from, because we all understood that we needed longer to sort that this very, very difficult problem of disarmament. HUMPHRYS: Alright, so it's not going to happen by the end of the week, you make it quite clear. Now, if the Unionists could be persuaded to carry on because as you say, you use rather stronger language than this, but as you say the government is under a certain amount of pressure because of the Unionist views - I'm not debating their views for the moment. But if they could be persuaded to carry on with the Assembly and the Executive and all the rest of it, until May 22nd, which is when decommissioning is supposed to have happened, supposed to have been completed, do you believe that by May 22nd, decommissioning will have happened. Put aside the end of this week as a deadline, think of May 22nd, will it have happened by then? McLAUGHLIN: Well I can't give that guarantee which I think is the implication of your question, I can only give this absolute commitment.. HUMPHRYS: Your view? McLAUGHLIN: My party will work strenuously to meet that deadline. We have committed ourselves to working towards that deadline but of course the Good Friday Agreement commits all of the participants, it doesn't say Sinn Fein should do this, so I think there is a difficulty compounded for instance by the fact that it took us nineteen months out of a two year period to set up the political institutions in the first place. Now we have to try and do in five months what we originally gave ourselves twenty-four months to do. But Sinn Fein remains committed to attempting to achieve that deadline and we will work strenuously to achieve it. HUMPHRYS: Do you believe it will be achieved? McLAUGHLIN: I think we are under extreme pressure time wise and that was obvious when we had the November review but Sinn Fein remains committed to attempting to achieve that and we hope the other parties are also. HUMPHRYS: What if you had a few extra months. What if somebody said: alright we'll take account of what's happening. We take your point that a bit more time is needed. What if they added on a few extra months? MCLAUGHLIN: Well John, Sinn Fein have actually reiterated over and over again, our conviction that we can actually achieve decommissioning. Decommissioning in our view is an essential part of a successful peace process, and you will notice that the IRA acknowledged and supported that statement yesterday, so let's accept that this is a political problem, that should be sorted out through political parties engaging in discourse within the new and developing political structures. Stepping outside of them, collapsing them, actually sends the message back again that we will continue to experience a failure of politics which gave us the conflict and the division in the first place. HUMPHRYS: If they are collapsed, if that does happen by the end of this week, which it will if nothing is given by Sinn Fein, will you still, will Sinn Fein still use your influence on the IRA. Many people say that that's a silly question because they're one and the same, but put that aside for the moment. Would you still use your influence on Sinn Fein to try to bring about decommissioning even if there are no structures, none of these bodies, the assembly and the executive in place? MCLAUGHLIN: Yes. I think people should reflect on the fact that we started this work when the war was raging around our heads, when our members were being shot dead, with collusion involving British security forces and the Loyalists. We started then (INTERRUPTION) we have developed ..... if necessary we'd go back onto the drawing board and start over again. Our hands are being tied behind our backs when people are making demands that can't be delivered in the present circumstances or are going to take away the new political structures and give us no arguments whatsoever to point the alternatives. HUMPHRYS: Well, let me ask you that question again, and I repeat that many people were being blown up and shot dead, and many innocent people as well, which is why we're in the mess we're in today. If the structures are collapsed, if the assembly and everything else is suspended, what will Sinn Fein's attitude be towards bringing influence to bear on the IRA? MCLAUGHLIN: We will go back to the work of building up political structures and then demonstrating through making the primacy of politics clear to everyone, that that is how we can resolve the outstanding problems. That's our conviction. We are wedded to that, and we will not be deflected from that, we will not walk away from that, we will not threaten to resign, we will deliver on the electoral mandate that we have John, and if that is respected in the British political system and in the British media and they understand that we represent people here who have a commitment to peace, then we will work this out eventually, but the people who are threatening the political process at the present time are the pro-British Unionists and the British government, and I think we should be very clear about that if people want clarity. HUMPHRYS: Yes, but my question was whether you will - you say you'll still strive to get the institutions back and working. My question was whether you would bring pressure to bear, assuming that you're doing so at the moment as you say you had been doing, will you continue to use your influence on the IRA to begin to disarm, even though the institutions are not in place, even if they have been collapsed? MCLAUGHLIN: Well, there's our analysis, and I think it's a shared analysis: unless there are political structures John, then we are wasting our time. HUMPHRYS: So the answer's no is it? MCLAUGHLIN: Well, sorry, it is a very important question. We will continue to argue that we have to have space for the politicians to think their way through this, to talk their way through this, to negotiate their way through it, and that space would be denied if conflict re-emerges on our streets. So Sinn Fein will continue to use our influence, and the same influence and the same analysis that gave us the IRA cessations tells us that we have to rebuild this. We still need the same space and we would use that argument and we would use that influence to the benefit of the peace process. HUMPHRYS: So what you're saying is that yes, you would continue to use your influence on the IRA, but you do not believe it will be successful. Is that what you're saying? MCLAUGHLIN: Not if the British Government willy-nilly will would collapse international agreements and formal negotiated commitments that they had with ourselves, but if we can rebuild that, if the British insist on doing it and acknowledge that it can't be done outside those formal negotiated political structures, then we can all work together, because it becomes a common crisis. It's not a crisis for Sinn Fein alone, and we will use our influence, we would hope others would use theirs, but of course if Peter Mandelson were to consider the serious implications of this action that he proposes to take next weekend, then maybe we wouldn't have to face that crisis at all. We could go back to the existing political structures and address the outstanding problems as sensible and adult people should do. HUMPHRYS: Mitchel McLaughlin, many thanks. HUMPHRYS: The government has always had a problem with Europe. Mr Blair wants to be right at the heart of the European Union, respected by all his continental colleagues, but at the same time he's nervous of the political reaction at home to the merest hint that he's giving away more power to Brussels. And Brussels says: unless we do get more power there's no way we can expand the union and still make it work. As Paola Buonadonna reports Mr Blair's in a real bind. PAOLA BUONADONNA: Europe faces one of its hardest challenges this year...After four decades its institutions need to move on and reform to allow 13 more countries to join. It needs to become more efficient -- and more accountable. Here at the European Parliament democratically elected MEPs from all the 15 countries of the Union meet to give their opinion on legislation, and they can modify or reject some bills. ANTONIO GUTERRES: It is obvious that the way the Union is ruled today, the way it works it would no longer be possible with about 30 or probably even more that thirty countries in the Union so we have to reform the institutions. BUONADONNA: The Commission is the Union's executive body. Its 20 members, drawn from the 15 states, initiate legislation and implement it once its been approved. Recent corruption scandals have done nothing to improve its popularity. But its here, in the Council of Ministers that the real power lies ... representatives from the 15 countries gather in this building to discuss every policy, from farming to finance. In the most sensitive areas each minister still has a veto. Their new task of reforming the institutions, will take at least a year. They will have to fight their own corner on a painful series of compromises. MICHAEL BARNIER: Any negotiation involves compromise, and I don't reject this word - it doesn't mean that anyone is going to be humiliated. Each party gains because everyone gains. We have a serious and historic responsibility, this is why I call it 'the moment of truth' for the European Union. BUONADONNA: The negotiations are called the Intergovernmental Conference or IGC. It will be in this room that ministers and diplomats will begin the IGC in a week's time. For Britain it's a moment of truth. Next week the government will present its plans for the IGC. It will have to tread a difficult line between the requests of its partners who want a deeper more integrated Europe, its own desire to be at the heart of Europe the danger of giving any ammunition to Eurosceptics who will challenge any concessions made to other countries. FRANCIS MAUDE: Well, Tony Blair's got to start standing up for Britain. For two and a half years now he's just gone with the flow, everything they've proposed he's gone along with, he wants to give up power all the time apparently in the vain pursuit of influence. Well he, Tony Blair has got to understand that leadership is about standing up for what Britain's interests are - that you gain influence by having power, you don't gain it by giving power up. BUONADONNA: The Labour government has been trying to agree a common stance on Europe with the Liberal Democrats - in May last year they agreed an initiative on defence. This week they've come out with a document setting out a joint strategy on the IGC. CAMPBELL: There's always a trade-off for British governments between domestic considerations and taking a proper place in Europe. It's part, I think, of the British psychology that this should be the case. But there's an opportunity here. There's an opportunity for a Prime Minister with a majority of a hundred and seventy nine, who still stands astride the British political stage. Mr Blair can and should show leadership in Europe, it will be in his interest and in the interests of the people of the United Kingdom as well. BUONADONNA: But out in the negotiating arena the European players face some tough challenges. The first is the suggestion that more decisions should be taken by a substantial majority rather than a unanimous vote when ministers tackle issues in the Council. Both the European Commission and most member states want this to happen. The UK accepts this but Tony Blair says he'll block any moves to give up the veto on any aspects of taxation, defence, border controls or social security. BARNIER: I don't think there is any reason to be afraid of the qualified majority if it enables us to decide on certain policies together. You ask me what are the limits: the limits as far as issues of taxation are concerned is that we propose only to decide by qualified majority on taxation on areas linked to the efficient functioning of the internal market. All of us, the UK, France , Germany and all the other member states have agreed to the creation of a single market in the interest of the companies, employees and consumers. Where there are taxes directly related to the efficient functioning of the rules of competition between us we propose to get rid of the obstacle of unanimity. BUONADONNA: Britain has come under pressure from its partners around the European table to introduce a new tax on savings which would upset the City. The government has been relying on its power to veto any tax changes. But even some government supporters concede that for other aspects of taxation the veto could be removed. MARTIN: We say enlargement should continue to require unanimity and certain sensitive issues like aspects of taxation and social security should require unanimity but beyond those sort of core issues then everything else should routinely be done by not a simple majority but a qualified majority vote. MAUDE: I think losing the veto over tax matters would be quite wrong - I mean I don't think we could contemplate that for a second. Because when you think about it, in a democracy the most vital link there is between legislators and the public is tax. BUONADONNA: Another controversial set of reforms involves freezing the number of Commissioners - there's already a team of 20 and there'll be more when Europe is enlarged. At the moment big countries have two commissioners and they're willing to lose one, provided they get more voting power in the Council of Ministers, to reflect more realistically the size of their population. Small countries are willing to give up some votes in exchange for keeping their one commissioner in the team. But there is even a suggestion that no country would be guaranteed a commissioner and the positions would instead rotate between the 15 members. BARNIER: That option means that you would have a stable number of commissioner, 20 commissioners, who each perform their functions based on a system of rotation under which each country would be on equal footing with the rest. There could be times when a particular country did not have a national representative on the commission but perhaps that would be better than having a weak commission. MAUDE: We want to have a smaller commission, but I think it would be quite unacceptable, at any rate for the five countries that currently have two commissioners, not at least to have one Commissioner permanently. BUONADONNA: The country currently in the driving seat in the Council of ministers is Portugal. This former imperial power does not rule the world these days - but for the next six months it has the Presidency of the Union and will be in charge of the Inter Governmental Conference. The Portuguese Government wants an ambitious agenda for the negotiations. The Socialist Prime Minister Antonio Guterres is a friend of Tony Blair but he has a much bolder vision of what Europe should be about. Like the European Commission, he wants to use this opportunity to push ahead for faster and deeper with integration. ANTONIO GUTERRES: I think we will need not only changes in the bodies themselves, the institutions themselves, but also in the decision making process, making it more easy to have decisions by qualified majority and more easy to allow a group of countries to go deeper in European integration if, even if all will not be ready to do so. BUONADONNA: The way Portugal and other member states hope to win that is by reinforced co-operation or flexibility - where a group of countries can decide to push ahead with further integration even if other countries want to put the proposal on ice and opt out - just as with the single currency. Last year eleven countries joined the Euro leaving Britain and three others behind. The danger for Tony Blair is that flexibility could mean Britain finds itself further sidelined as the core Euroland countries move ahead in other areas. GUTERRES: The British Government is doing a lot in order to have a very positive role in the European construction, we fully appreciate it. In my opinion when a country is interested in belonging to a Union and at the same time is interested in preserving some specific areas I think it would be much easier to accept a reinforced co-operation or a mechanism of flexibility than to accept a decision-making process with a qualified majority, because if there is a qualified majority of course all countries will be forced to do according to what is decided by the majority if there is a reinforced co-operation it means it will allow some countries to move forward but will allow others to be out, as it is now the case for Britain with the Euro. DAVID MARTIN: The only reason that I can imagine the British government worries about flexibility is that they accepted the argument that sooner or later Britain always signs up for European initiatives so they are worried if nine or ten countries go ahead and create a new policy on their own that sooner or later Britain will join. Again, I don't fully accept that argument - either we'll join because it is in our interest to join and then good news, that we allowed the other nine or ten to be the pioneers in this, or if it doesn't become in our interest we won't join, I think there is unnecessary caution here on the part of the British government. BUONADONNA: It's not just Tony Blair's allies spurring him on - the new Shadow Foreign Secretary, Francis Maude has already assured Commissioner Barnier that the Conservatives welcome flexibility. But they interpret it as allowing countries to pick and choose which new rules they're prepared to accept. Conservatives hope flexibility will eventually lead to a looser, shallower Union. MAUDE: Tony Blair has this absurd view, he says there's only two ways, two types of relationship with Europe - one is to accept everything - Social Chapter, the Euro Army, the Single Currency all of that, to go with the flow on all of that; and he says if you don't do that, if you don't buy the whole super state package, then you must want to be out of it altogether - and that's ridiculous. The moderate, mainstream, common sense approach is to say you can be in it, without having to accept everything that comes out of Brussels and without having to be run by Europe. And you know, that's the common sense approach and flexibility will be crucial to that. BUONADONNA: The Conservative view of flexibility has found little support so far in Brussels. Those influential with the Government argue it shouldn't be frightened to embrace the European concept of flexibility. GRANT: I think the Conservatives maybe like the idea of flexibility because they do not want Britain to be part of many European projects for integration, they want Britain to be left out, so they're very happy to have flexible structures that allow Britain to stay out. I understand why the Government's against that because they don't want Britain to become a semi-detached member of the European Union. I'm taking a more positive view on flexibility. I think flexibility could be a good idea not because Britain should stay outside but because some of the new countries in Eastern Europe won't have strong enough economies to actually take part in all the EU policies. BUONADONNA: These fundamental reforms in Europe put Tony Blair in an awkward position at home. The year-long negotiations will inevitably generate a stream of negative stories on Europe, which will be seized upon by the opposition. And the conclusion of the process, when the hard decisions will have to be made could come uncomfortably close to the date of the next general election. MARTIN: There are two ways of dealing with that - one, you could wish it goes away and try and play it as low key as possible but Europe never ends up being a low key issue, or you can say let us prepare public opinion now, let's have the debates now and let's explain to the public what we are trying to achieve through this process. And I would very much urge on the Prime Minister the latter course, we should be going public now on what the IGC is about. CAMPBELL: Right at the beginning when he went into Number Ten Downing Street, Mr Blair sought to emphasise the commitment of the Labour party to Europe. The Liberal Democrat commitment is long standing. But from time to time Mr Blair has seemed to be a little less warm towards Europe than his earlier statements might have suggested. The Liberal Democrats want to encourage him to show leadership in this matter, not to be timid and not in any way to be deflected by sections of the popular press here in the United Kingdom. BUONADONNA: Europe must move on the reforms and fast - its own credibility is at stake in this process. Every country will have to accept some painful compromises. The challenge for the British government is to persuade the public that the reforms are not just another plot from the corridors of Brussels to grab more power. HUMPHRYS: Paola Buonadonna reporting there. And we did ask the Foreign Secretary Robin Cook to talk to us about Britain's European policy be he didn't want to. JOHN HUMPHRYS: The government got a bloody nose in Wales this week. While Tony Blair was wandering around the west country telling people how good life is in rural Britain, the voters of rural Wales were pushing the Labour candidate into a humiliating fourth place in a parliamentary by-election. It could get worse this week because the First Secretary in the Welsh Assembly, Alun Michael, faces a vote of no confidence. His opponents say he is a Blairite poodle and he doesn't fight strongly enough for Wales. I talked to Mr Michael earlier this morning and I asked him if he thinks he'll survive. ALUN MICHAEL: I believe so because I think right is on our side. Plaid Cymru have put forward a challenge based on an allegation that we haven't won the money for Objective One, which of course is going to be very important in transforming the economy of Wales. Whereas in fact Labour has won Objective One, we have put the money in the budget for the coming year and I'm confident that in the spending review we will have the finances for the future years so there's no reality in the challenge that they've put forward. HUMPHRYS: Well let's just explain for people who may not know what Objective One means which is that there's a great pot of money in Brussels, one point two billion pounds over the next seven years and we can get it for Wales if we match that money from London. In other words if Gordon Brown puts in the same amount of money more or less, I know there are complications attached to it but nonetheless vaguely that's what it means. Now the fact is..... no go on.... MICHAEL: Firstly, we have to complete the negotiations with Brussels and we're well on with that. We're actually ahead of other countries and of the other regions of the United Kingdom that has Objective One status. Secondly, we have to have the money in our baseline, I know this is getting technical, and we've achieved that for the first year, for the year that starts in April and we have the spending review which will go through the next few months and end in July which is where we will decide the details of spending for the future years. HUMPHRYS: Yeah but what they're saying, putting it as simply as we possibly can is that there is all of this money on offer over the next seven years - one point two billion pounds - and you are not fighting for Wales in the sense that you are not saying 'I'm going to go to London. I'm going to bash Gordon Brown's door down and say "You balance that money so we can get all of that one point two billion dollars... pounds for Wales or you are in trouble', that is what you are not doing, that's the allegation against you. MICHAEL: Well the allegation is that I haven't achieved it. Actually as I say we have achieved it for the coming year which Plaid Cymru also don't seem to understand and secondly the process of negotiations of course takes a period of months, that's been laid down by the UK government. We've made very clear both publicly and privately, what we need in terms of money both for public expenditure and for match funding in order to be able to draw down fully the one point two billion pounds that you rightly say will be available during that period and we're absolutely confident of doing that and it's been done in a strong and a determined and a clear way but I think shouting through megaphones from one end of the M4 to the other is not the way to do it. But what Plaid Cymru has done is put a vote of confidence down this week on an artificial deadline which has nothing to do with achieving the outcomes they say they want to see and one has to question their motives and ask what they're trying to achieve. HUMPHRYS: Yes. But you see the reason they say you've not achieved it is because - yes there is a wee bit of extra money knocking around but that isn't..... no... no... let me finish the point so that people will understand what we're talking about but it is not in addition to the money that Wales would normally get. You've taken a wee bit of money out of the budget, out of the money that Wales would normally get and said 'now match that...' and they've matched that so there is a wee bit of extra money coming from Brussels but it isn't this dreadful word "additionality". It isn't in addition to the money that Wales would have got in the normal way. That's the thing that they're concerned about. MICHAEL: I think as from the beginning there have been a confusion of three technical things: Public expenditure, additionality and match funding John and we've struggled with this over months because it is technical, it is complicated but it's also very clear. What we have is the money that is necessary to satisfy the public expenditure requirements and the match funding for the coming year. The additionality element is something that's dealt with at a nation state basis and the UK government has never failed to achieve that so there isn't a problem in any of the three tests that are being set. I would put it much more simply than that. We have put in the budget for the coming year the money that is necessary to draw down the maximum that we think can be spent in the first year and indeed we've set a challenge to people, to business and local government and the voluntary sector - if you spend more than that in the first year we will achieve what's needed, there's not a problem in that regard. But that is the challenge that Plaid Cymru have set. HUMPHRYS: Yeah but that's the point isn't it - the maximum that can be spent you say which is not the same as saying the maximum that is available and the point Plaid Cymru is making is a) that there is a lot more money available if only you would fight for it and b) that by golly Wales could certainly do with that money when you look at the state the Valleys are in, you look at the state West Wales is in - by golly they could do with that extra money. MICHAEL: Yes. Neither of those things is true. The money is available to us according to a programme that is agreed with the European Union. We've put forward that profile and nobody has disputed it including Plaid Cymru. We're in the process of negotiation with the European Commission, I was there last week and met the Commissioner, Commissioner Barnier who confirmed what I've been saying all along - that the process of negotiation is satisfactory and what's needed actually in the finances John is not the profile of commitments but the profile of actual expenditure. We have not got a problem with any of this. HUMPHRYS: Well alright, let's be quite clear what you're saying then that over the next seven years you have had an undertaking from Gordon Brown, assuming you're there for seven years of course but..., that he will stump up the extra and I stress extra one point two billion pounds out of the Treasury to match the one point two billion pounds that is available from Brussels and that is absolutely clear. All you've got to do is come along and say 'look we've got the projects now, we want to do this in West Wales, that in the Valleys, the other thing somewhere else' and the money will be there, absolute guarantee - one point two billion pounds extra from Gordon Brown on the button. MICHAEL: John, in the question there are a number of misapprehensions which it would take time to unpack but let me put it this way. In order to draw down the one point two billion pounds to transform the economy of Wales we also need to draw in match funding. I am absolutely definite on the point that we have the money in the budget this year, money for future years is never dealt with long in advance, it will be dealt with in the spending review which ends in July. I am absolutely confident that that will give us the finances that we require and to jump ahead of that deadline.. HUMPHRYS: Yeah, but I'm sorry to interrupt you, but the important thing is 'in addition to' and that's what you're not telling me. You're not saying this money is in addition to, you are saying this is money out of the budget, out of the money we would normally get. MICHAEL: No, that is not the case John. I have said all along that it is absolutely clear that we need to get additional money into the Welsh budget and that is what we will be discussing through the spending review. In the case of this year you can judge me by actions because I won extra money from the Treasury, that money is in the finances this year. That is why we are able to say with such confidence that we have the money for the first twelve months from April the First, the first year of the Objective One period of Wales. The job is done on that, I have achieved that. HUMPHRYS: So given that that is the case and that's disputed, certainly the amount is disputed by Plaid Cymru but you will be challenging Mr Brown, fighting Mr Brown, you say you don't like megaphone diplomacy done the length of the M4 but nonetheless people expect you to be in there fighting for Wales and you will be fighting and saying "and we want that for next year, we want more for next year" because the amount you got this year is relatively small. MICHAEL: I promise you that nobody could possibly be more vigorous than I have been and will be in making sure that we get the best deal for Wales. But can I say the amount in this year is not relatively small, it is a large sum of money and it fits with the profile and the predictions of expenditure that come both from our experience with structure of funds previously. The experience of Objective One expenditure in areas around the UK that have had it before and the profiles of expenditure in Europe. And as I say this is in discussion with the European Commission who want to be satisfied that we will be able to do everything at the time that the money needs to be spent and it's very clear that we are succeeding in that. HUMPHRYS: Let's look at somebody else who desperately needs money and that's farmers. Obviously all farmers say we need money, but in Wales there is a disproportionately high number of hill farmers who desperately need money. I mean their plight is, I'm sure you will acknowledge, their plight is absolutely desperate. Now again there is money available for them in Europe, a very complicated business, I hope we don't go into that in detail, but again the argument is that you are not fighting to get the matching money that is needed out of the Treasury to help those hill farmers. MICHAEL: Well again, the fact is that we have been successful in getting extra money into the economy in Wales and into hill farmers this year and last year. Indeed, I was in the position of negotiating with colleagues at the Treasury and the Department of Agriculture a few weeks after becoming Secretary of State for Wales, the day before I was about to visit a hill farm in North Wales. And those were vigorous and protracted negotiations but they were successful. I think this year, to some extent farmers and the farming unions have tended to act as if money was going to become available this year, automatically because it had been in previous years and that's not the case. There were very difficult negotiations, but we've brought that money in. Now I acknowledge entirely that there is a tremendous problem facing farming, both immediately and in the longer term and that's why we've been working very closely with the farming unions, with food processors and food manufacturers on getting added value in to Wales. Things like the All Wales Livestock Co-operative, things like the three foods strategies. Things like putting money into organic farming, things like putting money into .. which of course will protect the environment of Wales as well as assuring the future of farmers. HUMPHRYS: You got absolutely hammered in the Ceredigion parliamentary by-election, you were in second place last time around, you are in fourth place this time. it couldn't have been very helpful could it that Tony Blair was wondering around places like Cornwall, very similar in some ways to West Wales, telling them that farmers, or at least rural Britain has never had it so good. That wasn't very smart was it? MICHAEL: Well the coincidence of saying things that need to be said and a particular by-election always cause difficulties. But I would point out in Ceredigion, what happened basically was that the Liberals did well, took votes off Plaid, we were squeezed.. HUMPHRYS: ..I'd say.. MICHAEL: ..in the past in by-elections we've been successful in squeezing other parties, as in the Vale of Glamorgan and in the Monmouth by-election for example. HUMPHRYS: But Ceredigion wasn't exactly a one off was it, I mean you had terrible results in the European elections, you had terrible results in the Assembly elections. I mean really Ceredigion was just a symbol of the way things are going. MICHAEL: No, I don't think it was, I think by-elections are moments in time. I think it should be remembered that in the Assembly, despite the fact that we put in a system of proportional representation which gives a much stronger representation for the other parties, we still represent twenty seven of the constituents, twenty seven out of forty of the constituencies where people are elected directly and of course, the additional numbers are meant to help the smaller parties. HUMPHRYS: Yeah, but the fact is you don't have a majority there do you and that is why you are going to have one heck of a job winning your confidence vote this week - in fact - you won't win it unless one of the parties, one of the other big parties votes with you - so what are you going to do, are you going to try and do a deal with the Liberal Democrats or what? MICHAEL: Well, firstly, can I say that the arithmetic is absolutely right. If we don't have a majority it means that the other parties - if they wish to, can vote us down, that's true at any time and it's..if you like, can introduce a degree of stability. It depends whether the parties work in the way that was intended when devolution was voted on and the intention was that parties would work together for the good of Wales. Now we've sometimes seen that in the Assembly, we've particularly seen it in the committees which I think are developing and maturing in a way that over the perspective of a few years when people look out, will be seen as one of the great successes. There is less evidence of that at the moment, but that's because, as I say, Plaid Cymru have put down an artificial deadline with an artificial challenge and said come and vote with us. The challenge to the other parties is do they say we're not going to go along with this because it's not in the interests of the assembly, or do they say well we can't be seen to be outdone or place less importance on the challenge that Plaid Cymru have put ..... HUMPHRYS: All of which suggests that you are going to lose it, so what are you going to do then, are you going to stand again and say you've got to have me because I'm it and you'll make them as your party nominate you again, put you up again? MICHAEL: Well it isn't about me can I say John and I don't.... HUMPHRYS: Oh it is, I mean it is a vote of no confidence in you, specifically. MICHAEL: In the first secretary and it's a vote of confidence if you like in the leadership of the Labour Party, which, if I may say so, I think has been particularly good in the difficult first months of the Assembly..... HUMPHRYS: Well, with great respect, you would wouldn't you, but I mean they don't seem to think so, so what are you going to do, are you going, are you going to run again if they vote you down, are you going to run again, that's the question? MICHAEL: Yes, indeed I am. HUMPHRYS: You are, and again, and again. MICHAEL: Can I make the point John, that in other assemblies, whether you look at the Scottish Parliament or the situation in Northern Ireland, their present problems aside, or in other places where there's change as when there was major change in South Africa, the early months and even the early years of a new parliamentary institution are difficult and they require a great deal of effort on the part of everybody to make them stable. I'm working very hard at that, but it needs everybody to work hard. HUMPHRYS: But the effect of it is ...whether they like you or not, they are stuck with you because that's how it's going to be? MICHAEL: Well, yes that's... I lead the Labour Party and the Labour Party has the largest number of seats, albeit not a majority and I think the challenge is to the others. If you don't want the leadership of the Labour Party in the Assembly, what are you going to offer in its place, so far we had a resounding silence on that question. HUMPHRYS: Alun Michael, thank you very much indeed. MICHAEL: Thank you. HUMPHRYS: I was talking to Mr Michael a little earlier this morning. JOHN HUMPHRYS: David Blunkett won himself a great round of applause when he told a Labour Party conference before the election how strongly they felt about comprehensive education. "Read my lips" he declared, "no selection in education". But that was more than three years ago. What's happened since the election has led many Labour supporters to wonder if he really meant it. As Jonathan Beale reports, those who want to get rid of Britain's last grammar schools feel they're fighting an uphill battle. JONATHAN BEALE: In a year of primary school your future can be decided in a matter of minutes. Testing is designed to pick out the brightest pupils for academic success. It's also been seen as divisive and damaging for those children who fail: DAVID BLUNKETT: Let me say this very slowly indeed. In fact if you can watch my lips. No selection either by examination or interview under a Labour Government. BOB MARSHALL ANDREWS: I think selection is a process which fails many children and as such of course I would favour a Government that had grasped this particular nettle and said that selection will cease. DEREK WYATT: We need a system for our children that is representative of the needs of our communities. And it is divisive to divide children at ten. I cannot find a single educational philosopher or educational professor to say it is right to separate children at ten. JOHN BERCOW; We not dealing here with machines. We are concerned with the future of individual children and its to these individual children's needs that education should be tailored. That must involve having some degree of selection in our education system, and that must mean some academic selection in our education system. BEALE: It already exists in many state schools. Even comprehensives are choosing a proportion of children purely on academic ability. But for the moment eyes are focused on schools that exclusively cater for the brighter children: Grammar Schools have been the battleground of British education for nearly half a century. This Government has inherited Labour's traditional hostility to the 11 plus. And it will be judged by many on whether it allows such a clear cut case of academic selection to continue. The history of Labour's opposition to selection is unequivocal. As long ago as 1955 it said the 11 plus should be scrapped . There were once more than a thousand Grammar schools ..now there are just a hundred and sixty four. It's their future that's still to be decided: BERCOW: Grammar schools are beacons of excellence in our education system. They are renowned for their academic results, for their sporting prowess and for their cultural achievements. It is mad, literally mad, in a country that needs to raise its level of educational attainment, to talk about abolishing some of the finest state schools in the country. WYATT: I went to the grammar school and my brother and sister failed the eleven plus. It marked them and still marks them. It's a terribly iniquitous system. You cannot fail seventy five percent of your community at ten. BEALE: Hopes were high that this Government would open the door to equality - the same learning opportunities for every child To many that meant getting rid of the old academic elite. But despite David Blunkett's promise the 1997 election manifesto mentioned nothing about scrapping the grammar school system. ERIC HAMMOND: They don't say they want grammar schools abolished. They say they're providing the means where parents can abolish them. It's a bit of a coward's corner I think. BECKY MATTHEWS: It would have been much better had they gone into government and say 'this system is dead in the water; we will change it where it exists.' BEALE: Instead the opponents of the 11 plus are having to do some complicated sums. First they must find enough parents to sign a petition before they can trigger a vote. Twenty percent of parents eligible to vote on the future of grammar schools must sign the petition. MATTHEWS: In Kent to ask twenty percent of eligible voters to sign a petition - and its not a simple signature - there are actually nine boxes that each person has to fill in. In Kent, in the recent Euro elections I think less than twenty percent went down put a cross in the box. So we don't underestimate the difficulty of the task BEALE: Opponents of the 11 plus in Kent will need more than forty-five thousand signatures to force a ballot. Some believe it's a figure that they will never reach.. MARSHALL ANDREWS: I think that the Government set out deliberately to make this a very difficult process . Now that is because I think that philosophically possibly the Government is not wholly committed to an end to selection. HAMMOND: The way I read it politically is that it's really a bone that was thrown to the old unreconstructed left in some long forgotten decision in the Labour Party Conference annuals and they felt this was the best way to do it, that no grammar school was going to go under - or maybe one on the fringe where they are on their own - and so honour would be satisfied. I think it's very dishonourable actually. BEALE: So far only one group of parents in the entire country has reached their target for a ballot. That's in Ripon where the debate is over just one school. In Kent this is just one of 33 Grammar schools. The Government is watching from the sidelines while parents line up against each other to settle the future of Grammar Schools. But Ministers are acutely aware of the dangers in taking sides on the emotive issue of a child's education. Not least because parents expect politicians to practice what they preach: BLUNKETT: Watch my lips. No selection either by examination or interview. BEALE: Supporters of academic selection are swift to point out that 12 members of the cabinet since 1997 have been products of the Grammar school system. But they are more likely to be judged by how they choose to educate their own offspring. Tony Blair says he'll be the first Prime Minister to send all his children to state schools. But he's attracted criticism for choosing the London Oratory for his sons. A school that selects after interviewing both prospective pupils and parents. Harriet Harman - the former Social Security Secretary - has been accused of more blatant hypocrisy. In the case of one of her children, she snubbed local schools in favour of a Grammar School ten miles away. BERCOW If a parent who is a Labour Member of Parliament sends his own children to a selective Grammar School - and that is what a Grammar School is, a selective institution - but then does not support the right of other parents to do the same , that is hypocrisy. MARSHALL-ANDREWS: I would have found it uncomfortable if I with my strong views on selection had at the end of the day sent my children to a selective school. I would have found that really very difficult and very uncomfortable BEALE: Tony Blair appears to be more concerned about the bigger picture. Like making sure New Labour's policies appeal to a wider audience. Many of the Grammar schools left are in former Tory strongholds like Kent. And Labour doesn't want to see its marginal seats here wiped off the map: BERCOW: Before the election it became clear that there were substantial numbers of parents in marginal seats around the country who were pro Grammar schools and whose support for grammar schools would stop them voting Labour if they thought Labour would abolish Grammar Schools outright. WYATT: I think New Labour came in with a promise that it would not unduly unpick middle England; and there are parts of middle England that are grammar. MARSHALL-ANDREWS: I would be very sorry if the Government's motivation was an electoral rather than an educational one. BEALE: Critics say it's not measured up to expectations on grammar schools. Nor has the Government clamped down on the selection policies of other schools. In fact it's allowing comprehensives to apply general ability tests for a proportion of their entrants. Those championing all-ability schools say the system is still loaded against them: CAPERSON: I think a lot of educators actually felt that if there were a Labour Government there would be a clean break with the selective past and it would be the opportunity finally to produce the benefits of comprehensive education to the whole of the country. And I think many of us are disappointed that that hasn't happened yet WILLIAMS: We are pitting professional against professional. Up until now grammar schools and high schools and comprehensive schools have worked well together with the ultimate aim of improving the academic standards of all our youngsters. I do not wish to spend time debating this issue for a moment longer than is necessary. Let's go back to working together to improve education for all youngsters. BEALE: New Labour's education policy bears little resemblance to the old. Labour's fundamental opposition to selection has now been transformed. And all the apparent inconsistencies have been carefully covered up: Like art, the Government's attitude to selection can be interpreted in different ways. First it was no selection. Then it was no more selection. And most recently it's being interpreted as some selection but only by aptitude: BLUNKETT: "Watch my lips - no selection". POWELL: Certainly this government is encouraging certain forms of selection. It's fostering a specialist schools policy which is leading to the establishment of a large number of secondary schools which can select a proportion of their students by aptitude. Now there is significant debate about whether you can select by aptitude or whether that's not a covert form of selecting by ability. BEALE: It is, according to the Government, an entirely new formula. There are now nearly 500 schools which can select ten percent of pupils by aptitude. The fully comprehensive system of the 60's and 70's is seen as an experiment that failed. MARSHALL-ANDREWS: The type of selection which I think is worth considering is something which the Government are now actively promoting - and I think it's a very good piece of government policy - and that is specialists within schools. So you have beacon schools, for instance, for languages, for sport, for mathematics, for engineering. BERCOW: The government seems to be in favour of selection by aptitude and yet it is opposed to selection by ability. It's happy to have people selected because they're good at playing a musical instrument or because they have a facility for technology or because they're adept at sport or because they're skilled in languages, all of that's alright as far as this government is concerned but if you happen to be generally academically able, that apparently is a sin the Government can't forgive BEALE: Labour though is speaking a very different language to the one it spoke in opposition. And it's still not clear how its core supporters will react. True the new words are far more soothing to many middle class voters. But it will be difficult to please both sides: BERCOW: They're not quite sure what to do so it's mix and match: it's say one thing and do another; and indeed it's say different things to different audiences in different places at different times for different purposes This is chameleon politics. BEALE: Do you think this Government wanted to get rid of grammar schools? WYATT: That's a hard question to answer. BEALE: The answer may well satisfy these grammar school children. The odds are that their school will be preserved. But it's unlikely to satisfy those Labour supporters and parents for whom selection is a lingering injustice. HUMPHRYS: Jonathan Beale reporting there. I'm afraid there was no minister available to talk about selection in education. That's it for this week. A quick reminder of our Web-site where you can find all my latest interviews. 'Till next week, good afternoon. ....ooooOoooo.... 21 FoLdEd
NB. This transcript was typed from a transcription unit recording and not copied from an original script. Because of the possibility of mis-hearing and the difficulty, in some cases, of identifying individual speakers, the BBC cannot vouch for its accuracy.