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POLLY BILLINGTON: Ken Livingstone fought his electoral
campaign from the top of the battle bus. The view from the bus is very
different now ... as many of the people he was fighting are on board.
The Lib Dems, the Greens - even old foes from the Labour Party and the
Tories have been co-opted as experts in their field. But can he keep them
with him? Does he have it in him to be the kind of leader that London needs?
He's already proved his ability to reinvent himself, from Red Ken to Cuddly
Ken, but can he transform himself into the kind of politician that will
take on the problems of the capital?
SUSAN KRAMER: He said that he wanted to
pursue a manifesto and he wasn't going to be deflected from that and since
I agree with most of his manifesto so I am here to help that get implemented.
If he starts to back off for all kinds of other reasons then obviously
I wouldn't be able to remain a part of it.
TREVOR PHILLIPS: During the election campaign
we did point out that Ken had rather an interesting history of saying one
thing on Monday and deciding quite the opposite on Tuesday. So I don't
think it should be a huge surprise to people that he suddenly decided that
the manifesto is a sort of a burden that he can do without.
BILLINGTON: Facing assembly members at
mayoral Question Time, it's clear that Ken Livingstone's still very much
on his own against the serried ranks of party politicians eager to hold
him to account. Making alliances with some of them helps to promote an
image of inclusiveness that he's keen on. But will it help or hinder him
in getting things done? Transport is London's and Ken Livingstone's biggest
problem. He promised to improve public transport by keeping the tube in
public hands - a pledge that appeared to be popular during the election.
He also wants to introduce congestion charging to crack down on traffic
growth in central London - that may prove to be deeply unpopular. There
are political and practical realities that may make delivering on either
of these policies difficult. Ken Livingstone and the Labour Party parted
company over how to pay for improvements to the tube. He promised to oppose
the government's plans for a public private partnership to finance the
underground network. This made him the champion of the left .... and he
said the public backed him on this issue. But PPP is on its way ... and
some of those who he's appointed to help run London's transport system
say he should learn to live with it.
STEVEN NORRIS: Ken will need to understand
that the private sector is probably the only source of large scale finance
available to deliver that kind of improvement over a period - over the
period for example of these franchises which are currently being negotiated
over 30 years. If Ken therefore insists that his whole election was a,
was a referendum on whether or not we should privatise the Tube, and he
thinks that gestures like that are what will change the face of London's
transport, he will be sadly mistaken.
KRAMER: Ken is going to have to
continue the fight that he committed to during the campaign to keep the
tube in public hands and raise finance in the cheapest way that there is
which is by basically going to the bond markets and getting the money that
way. And that means taking on the government and its you know it's, it's
focus on doing this partial sell off of the tube, it's public private partnership
so there is going to be some conflict over that issue, it may be that Ken
can't win but he has got to make sure he really carries out the fight so
that the government is forced to truly understand the decision that it
is making.
BILLINGTON: Whatever he does with regard
to tube funding will lose him some allies ... either from Labour and the
Tories if he sticks by his promises - or the Liberal Democrats and others
who want him to fight on against PPP. But more immediately the public will
want to see improvements to the underground NOW. That might mean taking
on those who run it and work on it.
TONY TRAVERS: There's no doubt that taking
on powerful vested interests in the services that run London is different
from being a politician. Livingstone has been a brilliant politician, he's
fought his way through to being a candidate in this Mayoral race and eventually
won against the Labour Party, but there is a great difference between that
kind of political activity and the brutalising world of getting large corporations
with thousands and thousands of staff to change their work practises. And
that's what he now has to do.
NORRIS: If all he does is lie,
lie down and get his tummy tickled every time the unions bark he's going
to find life pretty difficult in terms of delivering improvement in London.
The real question is, where's he going to be when the picket lines are
out - is he going to be actually taking them on; or is he going to make
London a slave to the employees that he himself is ultimately the employer
of?
BILLINGTON: And while he's tackling management
and unions below ground, at street level he's promised to take on the motorist
by introducing congestion charging. Some say charging people for using
their cars in central London is the route to becoming a hate figure. Can
Ken manage to introduce them without paying the political price?
NORRIS: When you actually pick
just an area out of the centre of a city you create all kinds of problems
- the diversion of traffic that deliberately avoids the cordon area. People
who have a child at school inside the cordon but live outside. People
who have to use a car for work, which happens to be inside the cordon who
are effectively taxed an extra twenty five to fifty pounds a week. I mean,
those sorts of issues are going to make the current scheme that Ken's been
offered by government very unattractive indeed. I will make a prediction
- I don't actually think it's going to happen this side of the re-election
of the Mayoralty.
KRAMER: Congestion charging was
a central part of Ken's platform, it was a central part of my platform,
I see it as the only way in which you are going to actually get people
into a situation where they can move around this city, never mind sort
of improve the quality of life, air, to deal with congestion those kind
of things.
BILLINGTON: Ken Livingstone's made promises
on policing too. Promises, though, are easily made and just as easily dropped.
This week he told Assembly members he's not shackled to manifesto commitments
and is happy to implement more practical alternatives. But some of his
pledges offer the opportunity for a conflict with the government on a popular
issue, but that won't mean more police on London streets. Ken Livingstone's
promised to recruit two-thousand extra police officers. Experts reckon
that would cost between seventy and eighty million pounds a year. He's
also backed the Metropolitan Police Federation's pay claim of two-and-a-half
thousand pounds for every police officer. That'll cost about the same amount
of money. The only way he can raise it, is by adding it to the council
tax bills of Londoners - he'll have to persuade them and the government
that it's a good move.
TOBY HARRIS: I hope he's not going to just
play games about police numbers in London and try and pick a fight with
the Government. The reality is that the Metropolitan Police Authority is
independent of the mayor, it's independent of the Home Office it's independent
of the police service. We've got the responsibility of making sure that
proper priorities are set for the Metropolitan Police, priorities that
are consistent with what Londoners want. Now how we achieve that is going
to be working with the police service working with Government and trying
to make sure we end up with a budget which makes sense and makes sense
for London and Londoners.
LEE JASPER: Well very simply London
contributes in excess of 20 billion pounds, over and above that which it
utilises from the Treasury in terms of its income generation and its contribution
to the wealth of the nation. Seventy or eighty million, out of a final
figure of 20 billion that we contribute to the economy of the United Kingdom
is a very small amount of money in that sense and we would be making that
case as a rationale for why and from where the Home Secretary maybe able
to get these additional resources.
BILLINGTON: Lobbying for more money for
the boys in blue? It hardly sounds like the Red Ken of old ... but it might
be the kind of issue that offers him an opportunity to take on the government
and portray himself as the champion of London. But will it get him re-elected?
He needs to decide which strategy will be most successful in 2004 - to
maintain his populist anti-government media image or to co-operate with
the Labour leadership to deliver changes to Londoners. If he chooses an
oppositionist stance rather than co-operation, London may be the loser
and he could pay the political price.
TRAVERS: The evidence of the weeks
since he's been elected is of a period of amazing silence by Livingstone's
standards suggesting again that he's trying, and his advisors are trying,
hard not to court controversial issues. And I think this is partly deliberate,
partly the time it's taking to do these things. Now whether they'll be
able to go on resisting this only time will tell, but for the time being
it all seems to be aimed at winning again in 2004.
PHILLIPS: As long as what he does
makes sense, you know we'll be out there, we'll carry him, carry him in
triumph around town. If what he does are things which are harmful to the
interests of Londoners, we'll kick his ass.
BILLINGTON: And so too will the voters.
The smiles, the waves and especially the votes won't come as easily if
there's little to show for his time in office. It'll take more than warm
wit and empty promises to convince Londoners a second time round.
LIVINGSTONE: Wow, didn't I say that when
I was Mayor the sun would shine.
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