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DAVID GROSSMAN:            Misery by the gallon.  The floods 
of two-thousand caused over a billion pounds worth of damage - in human 
heartache the costs can't be measured. But these are scenes we may have 
to get used to - the Government's latest climate change study  predict 
winter rainfall may increase by thirty per cent over the long term. Already 
the experts say rivers are rising more often - the need for flood defence 
has never been more vital.  
Even before the flood waters drained away from here in Worcester and from 
other parts of the country the Government promised urgent action to try 
to prevent that kind of devastation from happening again. What was needed 
it's argued is not only better physical defences against flooding but also 
better protection against building, for the green areas around rivers that 
are needed to allow floodwaters to seep away before they become a problem. 
 But many of the people who live here and in other flood threatened communities 
say almost nothing has been done, and if there isn't action soon, their 
homes could become uninsurable and potentially worthless.
ANDREW LANSLEY MP:            Well the worst case scenario 
of course is that the consequences of climate change mean very substantially 
greater flood risk in future and that if we don't have flood defence measures 
in place, a lot of people will be, well they'll be driven out of their 
homes.
 
MARY DHONAU:                The Government  are acting 
very, very slowly. They've commissioned lots and lots of studies into flooding, 
but nothing has been done to stop it. It's still going to happen. If we 
flooded tomorrow, to the same levels as the year two-thousand we would 
flood just as badly.
GROSSMAN:                    Flooding  is a problem 
that threatens a significant proportion of the population. The Environment 
Agency estimates that one point nine million properties in England and 
Wales are at risk from flooding - that's about five million people.
MARY FRANCIS:                It's quite a serious problem. 
 I mean we have two aspects of it.  One is that flood defences haven't 
been maintained in a sufficient way. And the other is that we have got 
increasing prospects of more, of rain, over the coming fifty years or so. 
Something like a, an increase of up to a third in the amount of rainfall, 
and those two things together mean that many homes are not protected. 
GROSSMAN:                    In Worcester one of the 
homes to be hit in two-thousand belonged to Mary Dhonau. Today the waters 
have gone but she thinks they'll be back - this house has been flooded 
in seven of the past nine years - rainwater mixed with sewage.  
DHONAU:                    Well this room here is 
at the moment a makeshift kitchen as I'm having a new one. But during the 
floods of two-thousand, it my two little boy's playroom and we woke up 
in the morning and found all their toys floating in sewage.
GROSSMAN:                    And how high did the 
water come up to then?
DHONAU:                    Well at the worst it came 
to window-sill height.
GROSSMAN:                    And this is raw sewage?
DHONAU:                    Yes it's raw sewage, yes. 
We've been flooded seven times, we've made three insurance claims, so this 
is our third floor.
GROSSMAN:                    From her window, Mary 
can see the local water company starting work on a sewage pumping station 
that should mean that any future flooding won't be nearly so vile. But 
as a whole, Worcester isn't any better protected according to its MP. He 
says there's still nothing concrete to show for nearly two years of worry.
MICHAEL FOSTER MP:            Certainly there isn't any defence 
that's going to be in place by this coming autumn, nor was there obviously 
for the autumn and the winter period that's just gone, and people have 
to sort of cross their fingers and hope that the flooding didn't repeat 
and, and thankfully it didn't but it was very close.
GROSSMAN:                    As the late spring  rain 
falls on Worcester the river Severn fills up but this time sweeps by. Many 
believe the delay in getting better flood defence in England and Wales 
is caused by fragmented  planning  - a tangle of national, regional and 
local bodies with criss-crossing remits. The lead national organisation 
is the Environment Agency - its chairman says the time has come for a more 
streamlined approach. 
SIR JOHN HARMAN:            There are a range of committees 
around the country who take the decisions on flood defence.  Now, now this, 
this is fragmented, there, there are local committees, there are regional 
committees. We have to deal with twenty-nine decision making authorities 
in coming to our annual flood defence budget, as well as government, and 
its, its contribution through grants, so it's quite a complicated arrangement, 
and when things go wrong or when there's a flood, it's actually not an 
easy arrangement for the public to understand and it can be very frustrating 
to find out who's actually responsible for your flood warning or flood 
defence service.
FRANCIS:                    It is a, a dreadful maze, 
all the local authorities in the country have responsibilities for planning 
flood spending, and for undertaking it. We also have the Environment Agency, 
we have numerous other planning authorities, and we are pretty sure that 
there's not a sufficiently co-ordinated system to ensure that the money 
that is available is spent very efficiently. 
GROSSMAN:                    Lovely weather for some 
no doubt but the pressure for new homes means many, like these, are built 
on flood plains. Not only are such houses more vulnerable to flooding themselves 
but also instead of slowly seeping through open ground, rain rushes into 
the river off tiles and tarmac. The Government has tightened up the local 
authority planning guidance for building on such sites - but rivers of 
course don't respect local authority boundaries and the flooding impact 
of development can hit many miles downstream. 
 
LANSLEY:                    One of the most important 
things that ought to be done is to institute what's known as catchment 
management, that is looking at the whole catchment of a river. You know, 
whether it's the Great Ouse or whatever it might be, and look at that as 
a co-ordinated responsibility with a body, probably a sort of catchment 
wide body in place of the present Flood Defence Committees who have that 
responsibility to ensure that flood defence and the management of that 
river is co-ordinated.
GROSSMAN:                    Now to get some idea 
of how high the water floods in a place like Worcester - in November two-thousand 
it came from all the way down there and reached a mark on the cathedral 
wall - there. Now the question is, is it  economic to try to defend against 
this level of flooding - the Government insists that to work that question 
out you need to take into account the value of the property you're trying 
to defend.  But critics say that discriminates against places like Worcester 
with average or lower than average property prices .
FOSTER:                    A small house owned by 
a relatively low income family is less likely to be defended than a large 
house which is owned by a higher income family, and clearly that's not 
fair, and there are many people who argue against the current formula, 
on the fairness basis. But also, just looking at the value of the property, 
to work out what the cost of flooding is, I don't think takes in to account 
the full impact of flooding, the social costs experienced by those that 
are flooded are enormous.
GROSSMAN:                    In Worcester, the Severn 
View Hotel today has a somewhat drier view than it had in two-thousand. 
It's where the local flooding action group meets. 
ACTUALITY:                    "This is the map of 
Worcester. There are eleven cells - each cell has got to pass the cost 
benefit ratio."
GROSSMAN:                    They believe the current 
system means they won't get defended. 
ACTUALITY:                    "If we lived in Maidenhead 
or in Henley of course we would because our houses would cost more and 
I just want to know what you think about that?" 
DHONAU:                    My house is my castle, 
everybody's house in Worcester is their castle. It just has the same feeling 
of value to us, just because we're in a different part of the country it 
really shouldn't mean that we have, don't have the right to be defended.
HARMAN:                    What the system doesn't 
really reflect, and we think it should reflect is the value of the people 
that it's protecting.  We think it should be much more people based, one 
only has to deal as we do and our staff do all the time, with people who 
have been affected by flooding to know that it's a traumatic experience, 
it can have huge impacts not only in the short term but the long term, 
it's almost the worse thing that can happen to you as a family, other than 
a death in the family, is to be flooded. 
GROSSMAN:                    Sorting out insurance 
is one of the chores that goes with being a homeowner but for Mary Dhonau 
and the millions of others threatened with flooding it could soon become 
impossible.  As flood damage claims go up so could premiums to the point 
where they become unaffordable.
FOSTER:                    The prospect of flooding 
insurance being withdrawn from businesses and residents in my constituency 
has quite literally, been a time bomb waiting to go off. The prospect of 
people having to pay repairs, bills for ten, fifteen thousand pounds every 
time a property floods, and not have insurance cover to, to cover that 
cost quite frankly doesn't bear thinking about for those home owners, and 
of course the other side to it, is that they wouldn't actually be able 
to sell the property either, because no one would want to buy it.
GROSSMAN:                    It's easy to see why 
the insurers are getting nervous, the national bill for flood damage is 
currently about eight-hundred million pounds a year but it's predicted 
to rise to one point eight billion over the longer term if there's no extra 
spending on defences.
FRANCIS:                    Insurers are businessmen, 
they want to retain their customers wherever they can, but if in exceptional 
cases, homes are flooding year after year after year, it does just become 
uneconomic to afford the kind of levels of payment that would be necessary 
to get insurance. So in some cases yes, there's a danger of not being able 
to get insurance, but I stress, insurers want to maintain cover, where 
ever they can.
GROSSMAN:                    The scale of the autumn 
two-thousand floods shocked ministers - who promised action. Seeing the 
devastation for himself, Tony Blair  was warned insurers could start withdrawing 
cover. The industry though agreed to continue covering existing policyholders 
if the Government spent more on defences.  That agreement though ends in 
December and insurers say they've yet to see the rise in spending they're 
looking for.   
FRANCIS:                    The Government has been 
carrying out a very thorough review of its spending plans for three years 
to come. And, we wanted the Government to have time to make that assessment 
and to reach its decisions about what flood defences it could afford. We're 
very much hoping that we'll hear a favourable result based on the Government's 
own figures, we believe that more spending of about a hundred and forty 
five million pounds each year, is needed.
GROSSMAN:                    So if the Government 
is going to spend all the extra money on flood defence it's going to take 
to keep the insurance industry happy - where is it going to come from? 
Well, up to now, defences like the Thames Barrier here in London have been 
paid for out of general taxation - but a new government report suggests 
alternative sources of finance. Why not, it asks, impose a tax on developers 
who build new homes in flood prone areas - or, and most controversially, 
why not ask everyone whose home is at risk from flooding to pay towards 
the cost of defending it.
HARMAN:                    The Government's talking 
in its consultation about a developer connection charge. In other words, 
if you build new properties in the flood plain, you do add to society's 
costs.  You add to the agency's costs. That ought to be accounted for and 
so, if money can be recovered through that route, that would seem to us 
to be sensible. On the other hand, the idea has been put forward that a, 
a sort of tax is levied on every individual living in the flood plain, 
we don't think that's sensible. We don't think it's fair, 
WEATHER REPORT:             The weather really has changed 
- we had a line of torrential rain moving through last night, flashes of 
lightening, rumbles of thunder... 
GROSSMAN:                    In Worcester Mary Dhonau 
already finds she has to keep a constant eye on the weather forecast - 
so with that and the worry of losing their home insurance are flood victims 
to be taxed more as well?  Mary's local MP says the idea just doesn't make 
sense.
FOSTER:                    They bought the home expecting 
a flooding event, one every two hundred years, but now because of climate 
change it's one every five years, then it, it isn't fair to ask the home 
owners themselves to pay for the flood defences and we should look through 
the General Taxation Fund I think to find a way of helping them overcome 
what is a natural phenomena or arguably one that we have caused nature 
to create.
GROSSMAN:                    The test of the Government's 
commitment to better flood defences will come in July when the Chancellor 
announces his spending plans for the next three years. But many believe 
more money is only the beginning - flood defence they say needs urgent 
reorganisation if it's to meet the challenges of what looks like being 
a much wetter future.
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