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Interview with Paddy Ashdown |
................................................................................ ON THE RECORD RECORDED FROM TRANSMISSION BBC-1 DATE: 20.10.96 ................................................................................ INTERVIEW WITH PADDY ASHDOWN But first, the Liberal Democrats. Next week the Queen will tell us what her Government wants to do in the last session of this Parliament before a General Election. The leader of the Liberal Democrats Paddy Ashdown has his own Queen's speech - and a lot more radical it is than the Tories'. It will probably go a lot further than the Labour Party is prepared to go, too. So what makes Mr Ashdown think THAT will appeal to the voters ... and where does it leave his Party after the election? Mr Ashdown, Good Morning..afternoon. I take it you accept that you are now the most radical Party in British politics. PADDY ASHDOWN: I've never been very attached to names, but radical isn't one that I object to. What I know is that the Liberal Democrats stand today where they've always stood. We haven't had to wonder the highways and byways because the things we believe in have proved to be irrelevant and a mistake. I mean Labour seems to have admitted this eighty year old mistake of Socialism and trying to find new ideas, the Tories have abandoned Thatcherism. The Lib Dems stand four-square, exactly where we've always been and that's why in a period of change, this is a fixed point that people can rely on and I'm proud of that. HUMPHRYS: Obviously you wouldn't deny the radical word there. I wonder whether you realise how radical people might think you are when they look at your policies. I mean education for instance, an extra two billion pounds every year to be spent there and you're prepared to do that, you've said you'll do that, you'll raise taxes to do it. ASHDOWN: We'll raise taxes is that's the only way to find it. I'm not interested in raising people's taxes if it's not necessary but this is so important for our county that we begin to invest in our education system. Jim Callaghan speaking the other day said exactly the same, the fact that Labour aren't prepared to say where they'll find the money from, indeed Labour wouldn't even be prepared to put forward an alternative Queen's Speech. You couldn't have this discussion with a Labour politician, they aren't prepared to say what their alternatives are. The fact that they don't make what they're going to do clear does not mean to say that we shouldn't and yes we are prepared to stake out our position very clearly and, above all, we're prepared to say if this is a promise, there's the bill, that's how we'll pay for it and that's how much it will cost. HUMPHRYS: And there can't be much doubt that you would have to raise taxes to do that. ASHDOWN: Well that depends. I mean that's a judgement that has to be made at the time of the Budget, at the time of the next Election. I can't predict what their outcome will be but certainly with public borrowing as high as it is I mean John Major's now doubled the national debt which has been going since 1680 something in six years and in the light of that tax cuts would be simply irresponsible. Don't accept my word for it, take the word of the CBI, the Institute of Directors, almost every responsible commentator believes that with Government borrowing now massively higher than the Government predicted it would be two years ago the scope for tax cuts is very small. And we believe that if it's necessary to put that money into education to raise our taxes, we're prepared to do exactly that. HUMPHRYS: Pollution, the environment. You're prepared to say to us you'd have to pay more to drive your cars, if you're going to use them a lot. ASHDOWN: There's only one way that you can get more efficiency and that is to be prepared to ensure that the real cost of motoring is paid for, now what does that mean. It means that you are prepared to go in for road pricing in inner cities to reduce congestion, most sensible people believe that's a good idea. And that we think it's necessary to encourage smaller cars so we'll alter the vehicle execise duty so as to encourage people to have smaller cars and discourage them to have larger ones. The consequence of that - well the consequence of that is that if you were to raise petrol prices slightly, of the order of one or two p then you would be actually rather better off on the average motoring mileage of let's say ten thousand miles a year if you had a samller car than you are at present. So I don't think there's a huge cost involved in that but there is a genuine incentive, a tough incentive to try and move towards a more efficient transport system in this country. HUMPHRYS: And as far as Europe is concerned you're the only Party who's saying: we want to go into a Single Currency in the first wave - when it happens - if it happens. ASHDOWN: We're quite clear, I've never heard anybody argue a convincing case for the contrary. If a Single Currency is formed and Britain can be part of it, Britain should be part of it. We're also the only Party to be absolutely clear that we can't take further steps down the line of integration in Europe without asking the British people to give their consent in a referendum. So this case has to be argued before the British people and we're the only Parliament - the only Party in Parliament that is absolutely clear about the necessity to carry the British people with us in any further steps of integration in Europe. We'd be arguing in favour that... HUMPHRYS: Because you've said holding a referendum is a substitute for holding an opinion, you have an opinion and that is what you would argue. ASHDOWN: Correct. HUMPHRYS: Constitutional Reform - pretty radical on that too, abolish the Royal prerogative, Parliaments for Wales as well as Scotland, an elected House of Lords and so on. ASHDOWN: We have to clean up the mess of our politics, politics is failing in this country. Unless you are prepared to modernise Britain's constitution you're not going to be able to have an effective political system in the future, we're absolutely clear about that. HUMPHRYS: So and there are more radical policies as well that you have in mind and what I would like to suggest to you is that there is a real likelihood that disaffected Tory voters who are in the sorts of constituencies that you're targeting, that you have to target to get the kind of success that you want may well be put off by that radicalism. ASHDOWN: A proposition John, not a very..not one that convinces given that we've just had two Tory MPs join us. HUMPHRYS: MPs. ASHDOWN: We've just had two Conservative Members of Parliament.. HUMPHRYS: Indeed you have. ASHDOWN: ....join the Party. HUMPHRYS: Indeed you have but I'm not talking about MPs I'm talking about voters. ASHDOWN: Well I make the assumption that Tory MPs represent many Tory voters fed up to the back teeth with this Government. I mean take Peter Thurnham, he's been a life long Tory, he has fought hard for the Tory cause, he's watched his Party part company with what he believes in, he watched it part company with decent values that the Tories used to represent, the decent values of our country. He's looked at the other two parties, looked at them in conference and decided to join the Liberal Democrats. I suspect that's a clear idea of how many tens of hundreds of thousands of Tories who feel the same way are now thinking about the Liberal Democrats. I mean look, the proposition you're trying to make and I understand what you're trying to do and I recognise it's a prefectly sensible proposition to put forward and let me see whether I can answer it. Your proposition is that somehow or another we are this wildly radical Party that is about to do things.. HUMPHRYS: ...use the word wildly. ASHDOWN: That's the tone, that's the tenor of your interview and it's... HUMPHRYS: More radical than the others is what I'm saying. ASHDOWN: That we'll frighten people off. Well now let's have a look at that proposition. We now have control four times as many councils as the Conservatives do. We have more councillors than the Conservatives have, that's in the last two years. What's more you see that where the Liberal Democrats are in Government, unlike Labour where people have the benefits of the Liberal Democrat Government at local council levels, it's the same Party with the same values and the same policies where they have them they want more of them and that's why they elect us in with larger and larger majorities. HUMPHRYS: Well. ASHDOWN: Now, let me if I may just finish this. The conclusion you reach from that is far from those wild eyed radical party putting forward propositions that people don't like or are scared of. HUMPHRYS: ...that I haven't offered you. ASHDOWN: People see us as a prefectly commonsense solution to Britain's problems and where they see Liberal Democrat Government in action they don't see a radical Left-wing Party of the sort that you see with Labour. Why do you think it is that people have voted Liberal Demcrats in to control Lambeth, because they know that what we deliver there and what we deliver and practice elsewhere across the country is good, solid, practical, commonsense, down to earth, cost effective policies and I suspect what they see us deliver locally they'd like to see us also do nationally. HUMPHRYS: Well, that, you can't actually prove that proposition of course can you? There's loads of evidence to the contrary. I mean take an area like Richmond, a constituency like Richmond. In local politics they love you, it seems. They don't elect you to Parliament. ASHDOWN: Well, there is no single one of my colleagues, no single one of them elected since I was elected that hasn't first been elected by building the base of local government level, so what you see at Richmond and what you see elsewhere is the basis for the Party's attempts to get elected to Parliament next time. HUMPHRYS: And I would look for that rather than looking at the crystal ball. ASHDOWN: Then read the book, read the book and see the Party in practice, where it governs. Now do you see a Left-wing Party, do you see a radical party that frightens people off. No, you see a Party famous for practical commonsense, down to earth ... HUMPHRYS: But I don't see a Parliament stuffed with Liberal Democrat MPs. ASHDOWN: Well, you now see a larger Parliamentary Party in the name of the Liberal Democrats. HUMPHRYS: Of course with defections as you yourself have pointed out. ASHDOWN: No, because of Elections and by-Elections. I mean we now have the largest Parliamentary... we're now the strongest third force this country has seen for more than sixty years. We've beaten the Tories into third position in local government. We have the largest Parliamentary Party we've had for half a century and more, and we have made the breakthrough into Europe. By any standards that's the success rate of a Party that is making the point to people in Britain that they're rather convinced about and like to see more of. HUMPHRYS: Well, let me to put to you why you're radicalism, and I don't use the adjectives that you applied - wild-eyed or any of the sort. I merely make the point that you are more radical than the others and let me put to you a couple of reasons.... ASHDOWN: We're more honest, more straightforward. HUMPHRYS: Fine, if that's how you want to describe it, but you'd accepted that you're more radical than the others, so let's pursue that thought. ASHDOWN: We're clear about what we want to do. HUMPHRYS: Right, Okay. ASHDOWN: John, I want to make this clear to you. I mean - I'm, let me just make this clear to you. I don't intend to involve my Party in the politics of the spin doctor and the sound bite, the slickness etcetera of presentation. We want to do things as well as we can do. HUMPHRYS: And that's why I want to about... ASHDOWN: We intend to stake out clearly what we think needs to be done. We don't intend to run away when the Tories attack us like we've seen Labour do. We intend to stand our ground. What you see is what you get. Here are our proposals. We're prepared to say to people in Britain that's how much they'll cost, this is where the money comes from, and from what I see and our success - we've just finished the most successful year in the whole of our history in terms of Elections in local Government by-Elections, European Elections - the more people see of that the more they rather find it a refreshing alternative and want more of it. HUMPHRYS: Right. Well, as you say, you're telling people what they're going to get and what it's going to cost them. Let's look at education in the ... we mentioned education and you accepted that you are prepared if it comes to it and it is likely to come to it, that you - some would say that you will put that penny in the pound on tax. Now have you worked out how much that would cost the average family. ASHDOWN: Yes. HUMPHRYS: How much? ASHDOWN: Well, this is going to get complex, but you'll have to.... HUMPHRYS: Well, it needn't. ASHDOWN: Well, the answer is about thirty quid a year. HUMPHRYS: Thirty pounds a year? ASHDOWN: Thirty pounds a year. HUMPHRYS: Well, that's not the figure that I came up with, with a few fairly simple back of the envelope calculations it comes to about twelve pounds a month. ASHDOWN: Give us your figures and where do you get them from? HUMPHRYS: From loads of sources, but let's use the commonsense source, and that is we earn nineteen-twenty thousand pounds a year average family income, pay about fourteen thousand pounds a year tax on that, an extra penny in the pound works out at fourteen quid a month. ASHDOWN: John, you, I'm afraid, have been swallowing the propaganda put out by the Conservatives... HUMPHRYS: No propaganda. I didn't ask anybody to give me that figure, I used my own commonsense. ASHDOWN: You've asked me a question and I'll give you the answer. The Conservative figures which come out at twelve pounds a month have been very carefully manipulated. HUMPHRYS: I didn't take that I promise you. ASHDOWN: They happened to arrive at the same solution and I would just caution you. I mean most of the people are rather more discerning than accepting the Conservative figures. What the Conservatives have done and they come out with twelve pounds a month, is to base this on average male earnings, but that's not a reasonable way of calculating this. What we should be doing is basing it on the average taxpayer. Now the average taxpayer, if you put a penny on income tax, would cost about seventy pounds a years, that approximate - six pounds fifty a month approximately - let's call it seventy pounds a year. But of course we make proposals to raise the tax on those of - earning more than a hundred thousand pounds to fifty per cent, and raising the threshold to take seven-hundred-and-fifty thousand people out of tax, and that would raise the threshold for everybody. Ninety-nine point five per cent of all taxpayers would benefit from that proposal, and the benefit incidentally is forty quid. Now forty quid from seventy leaves you with thirty. That's why the average taxpayer, not the average male earner, but the average taxpayer will pay about thrity-five pounds a year extra to give our children a future. I'm quite happy to ask people to do that, and I suspect most people are quite prepared to do it. HUMPHRYS: Alright, but let's not leave my figure for a moment. Some might say .... ASHDOWN: Well, you borrowed some Conservatives and I just want to point out to you you're wrong. HUMPHRYS: No, no, I promise I did not borrow that from the Conservatives. ASHDOWN: Well, they arrived at the same figures. You should be a bit more discerning. HUMPHRYS: In that case we used the same calculator, that's all. I sat down yesterday afternoon, worked out on the calculator..... ASHDOWN: But you started from male average earnings, so if you start from the wrong position you're going to end in the wrong position, and you should be a little bit more discerning than that. HUMPHRYS: Well, I'll tell you what then. Let's not use this word average just for the moment, because you are targeting a certain group of voters in certain constituencies who you accept that you'll need if you're going to make inroads, otherwise you wouldn't be targeting those areas putting your effort into it, and they are by definition, disaffected Tories. Now again, by definition, they earn rather more, so if I'd used a different method of calculating I could have come up with a much higher figure than twelve pounds. That's your problem, and people are going to make these - do these calculations for themselves. ASHDOWN: If I may say to you gently I think your question reveals all that is wrong with our politics, and I say to you, I'm sure you do it perfectly correctly, perfectly sincerely - you see what you're saying to us is that we ought to be looking at our opinion polls to formulate our policies. HUMPHRYS: On the contrary. ASHDOWN: These are the people we're appealing to in our target seats etcetera. Look, if you want a Party that's run by what the target group of voters will say and they change their polices according to that, choose Labour, choose the Conservatives, do anything you like, but don't vote for the Liberal Democrats, because we intend to say we think this is right. We don't look at the opinion polls first. You may argue that these are the group of voters that we want to appeal to, but we will still say what we believe to be correct, and what is correct is that we're prepared to invest in education. HUMPHRYS: You seem to be saying exactly what I was suggesting to you, which is you are perfectly prepared as a straightforward, honest politician, to say, "Ladies and Gentlemen, those are my policies, if you're not terribly keen on them so be it". That's all I'm suggesting to you. ASHDOWN: That is exactly what I'm saying. HUMPHRYS: Well fine - we have no quarrel do we. ASHDOWN: And let me tell you that precisely in those constituencies time and again Liberal Democrat seats have been won both at local Government level and in by-Elections, and I believe that's where our votes stand, so I see the assumption behind your questioning approach is that somehow or another people don't understand... HUMPHRYS: Not at all. On the contrary I'm suggesting they will understand. ASHDOWN: ...and they're not prepared to vote for it. Neither of those three propositions I think, stand up. HUMPHRYS: Alright, Well, let's accept your ... I would regard it as an admission. You will say this has always been my position, and indeed it has, but let me tell me why that may cause you a problem. ASHDOWN: People in this country want a political Party that's prepared to say: Here we stand, that's what we believe to be right, this is how much it costs. Labour and the Tories will not provide that, it's all slickness and sound bites and spin doctors. We're going to - let's wait and see whether the British public welcome that and want to vote for it or not. HUMPHRYS: Alright. So, let's look, then, at those Conservatives, whom you're anxious to trap. Now your problem this time, in this election, is that in past elections they may have.. ASHDOWN: Here you go - the opinion polls, again - here you go. Here you go. HUMPHRYS: You, really-I haven't mentioned an opinion poll. You really must let me finish the question before you start attacking the premise of it. Of course they will make up their minds! And, what I am suggesting to you is that when they come to make up their minds, they may feel, now, we've got a different kind of Labour Party this time. A party, which by your own admission is not as "dangerous' - in quotes - as the old Labour Party used to be. So, in a sense, you've been hoist by your own petard, because they may well say this time: well, look, old Paddy's Party is a bit- forgive the old Paddy - young Paddy's Party is a bit radical. So, we'll go to safer Labour - that's what I'm suggesting to you. ASHDOWN: Well, let me requote a phrase straight back to you: why look in the crystal ball, when you can look in the book? I mean, did they do this in the May Elections? No, we had the most successful May Elections ever. HUMPHRYS: Local Elections - Local Elections. ASHDOWN: Ah, well, John, I'm awfully sorry you made - HUMPHRYS: You made a difference between Local Elections and National Elections... ASHDOWN: I don't doubt that for a second but during the Local Elections I was being continually being asked by you about whether or not this was an indicator for the national polls, and of course, it is. This is the last time the public voted. Did you see then - the Liberal Democrats - being swamped by Labour? No. Labour's national share of the vote went down - the Liberal Democrats share of the vote went down. So, I don't understand why you're looking in the crystal ball and dealing with hypothesis when you've got facts in front of you. And, the facts are that despite all your suggestions to the contrary, people like a party that stands its ground, they like a party that's prepared to say exactly where it stands and they like a party that's prepared to put forward some positive alternatives and doesn't duck the issues. HUMPHRYS: Right. I mentioned your .. speech... ASHDOWN: And, what is more they're voting for us more and more, and more. HUMPHRYS: Right. ASHDOWN: Otherwise, we could not have won the three by-elections out of five that have been in this Parliament from the Tories. Otherwise, we couldn't have had our most successful year ever in Local Government. Otherwise, we wouldn't have broken through to Europe, or had the largest Parliamentary Party we've ever had. HUMPHRYS: You have been - you've- ASHDOWN: So, it's a good theory but it doesn't stand up in practice. HUMPHRYS: Alright. You've been very honest. So, let me ask you to be honest again in reply to this question which is: what are you going to do with the influence that you believe you will acquire as a result of this next election? You have acknowledged that a Hung Parliament is unlikely. So, what are you going to do with that influence? ASHDOWN: Put that into practice. HUMPHRYS: But, you're not in power. ASHDOWN: Well, the more power we have the more it'll be likely that we do. HUMPHRYS: How? Why? ASHDOWN: Because, John, if you have power in Parliament, you are able to put your proposals into practice. HUMPHRYS: But we have a first past the post system? ASHDOWN: Do you know the outcome of the next Election? HUMPHRYS: No, of course I don't, but you've already told me it's unlikely to be a Hung Parliament. So, I'm making that assumption based on your own good commonsense and, therefore saying: you can't put that into - but what you can do is you can choose - if I may suggest this to you - you can choose certain issues where you will bring your influence to bear. ASHDOWN: These are the issues. HUMPHRYS: Fine - right. Well, now, there is an issue in front of us at the moment, isn't there? And that's gun control. It's one of those issues where the Parties themselves are divided, where the way you vote could swing it. What are you going to do? Are you going to support the Labour Party, or are you going to support the Tory - the Government's - view? ASHDOWN: We're going to support a sensible conclusion. HUMPHRYS: Which is what? ASHDOWN: Well, let me be absolutely blunt with you. I mean, I don't think Parliament has covered itself with much credit over this. We've asked a very, very highly respected judge, who produced probably what has become the handbook of post the Piper Alpha for the offshore oil industry in its last report - to produce a report. Even before he produced it, the Labour Party had taken its position, which ignored that report. The Tories, it appears, even before it had come out had decided what they were going to do. We're not going to follow that. It's important that we come to a conclusion on legislation which is very, very important, which can carry the majority in this country and which is sensible. I'll be blunt with you. My heart says we should ban handguns altogether. My head says I'm not sure that's the right solution. I'm looking at the Cullen Report. So are my colleagues. We'll discuss this on Tuesday and we'll reach a rational decision. I've been greatly influenced in this by where public opinion stands. It appears to be overwhelmingly in favour of a total handgun ban; by the position of the Police. But, I'm not prepared lightly to throw away a report of such importance, on such a difficult issue, without proper and careful consideration. HUMPHRYS: So, might you- ASHDOWN: Now, it may well be. It may well be that the Labour Party will play party politics with this as I think they have, and the Tories will do so too. I don't intend to do that. I think the people of Dunblane and I think this issue requires just a bit more thought. And, so, I'll discuss this with my colleagues - each of whom is reading that Cullen report this weekend - and we'll make a rational decision, then.... HUMPHRYS: So might you back Cullen against the Government's recommendations then? Might you say what Cullen has proposed is what we- ASHDOWN: That's perfectly possible. I said I was making up - we were making up our minds on this issue. It's a very serious report. It's a very big report. It's an issue that requires just a bit more than a populous gut reaction of the sort. Now, the people of Dunblane have argued their case with immense courage and with dignity and that's been very, very impressive. HUMPHRYS: Well, we know what they want - total ban on handguns. ASHDOWN: Yes, they do. And I said to you: my heart is in favour, my head asks questions about it and I'm going to have to make up my mind between the two. HUMPHRYS: You're a long time thinking about this, now. ASHDOWN: John, this is a very, very big report. It was published last Thursday. HUMPHRYS: No, but we know that when that dreadful... ASHDOWN: Yes, but all of us have been saying: wait for Cullen, and I intend to do that and look at Cullen. It would be quite irrational. I mean, Labour and Tories may do it but I think it's indicative of the kind of policies they've got themselves into. Each of them are really concerned with one thing and one thing only. How do they get one up on the other? At the moment, there are issues that need just a bit more thought and we're giving a lot of thought to this and we will decide on Tuesday in a rational and cogent way. And, I'm proud of that approach, not the approach that's being taken by the others. That's I think the kind of quality that our Party can bring. And, incidentally, at a time of change in this country - I think, most people think there is going to be change - it's one of the reasons why the Liberal Democrats can bring certainty - and safeguards people's future through that process of change. HUMPHRYS: Right. How else might you use your influence? ASHDOWN: Well, let me tell you what I think. We're coming on to a very, bitter winter in this country. I think, we've got a Government that's run out of steam. I think we've a Government that's divided; I think, we've got a Prime Minister that can no longer lead - nice man though he is, I think his leadership skills are inadequate to cope with the future. I think that we have a National Health Service that's coming into crisis. The farming industry is in crisis over BSE and the bungling issue of the Government's handling of that. I want this Govenment out, and in the next two or three months I will leave no stone unturned to make sure that we have the Election this country needs, and this Government, for its own sake and for the sake of the country gets removed. HUMPHRYS: That's more to do with Tony Blair than with you. ASHDOWN: Well, I'll be interested to see what Labour's attitude to this is. HUMPHRYS: Are you disappointed with the way Mr Blair has behaved over this? ASHDOWN: I'm - I'm - No, I'm not disappointed. I hope that Labour will understand that it is absolutely important that all of us - Labour, the Liberal Democrats and others - the Irish Parties as well are prepared to work to remove this Government from power as quickly as possible. They're doing themselves no good but above all they're doing the country no good and I see no purpose whatsoever, in us waiting for another six or seven months for the Prime Minister to call an election on May the first, when what this country needs is a fresh Government and a fresh chance now. And we will leave no stone unturned. We will work with anybody to ensure that this Government is now removed before it does more damage in the winter ahead. HUMPHRYS: Paddy Ashdown thank you very much indeed. |