Debate on the Economy





 
 
 
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                                 ON THE RECORD 
                                                          
 
RECORDED FROM TRANSMISSION BBC-1                                  DATE: 20.4.97
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JOHN HUMPHRYS:                         Good afternoon and welcome to the second 
On the Record debate, live and with a studio audience.  This week the 
economy - the one issue we're told really decides elections.  We'll be 
joined by Kenneth Clarke, Margaret Beckett and Malcolm Bruce and they'll be 
debating the questions that YOU want asked after the news read by CHRIS LOWE. 
 
NEWS 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              This election campaign has been a bit 
odd because normally the big fight is over the economy.  Other things seem to 
have overshadowed it a little this time.  But when it comes to putting that 
cross on the ballot paper on May 1st the parties believe what will matter to 
most of us is what it will mean for tax, for spending and for jobs.  In other 
words, as the American Democrats put it so succinctly: "it's the economy 
stupid".   
 
                                       Well with us are the Chancellor Kenneth 
Clarke; Labour's Trade and Industry Spokeswoman Margaret Beckett and the 
Treasury Spokesman for the Liberal Democrats, Malcolm Bruce.  The questions 
will be put by members of the audience and I'll try to make sure that they get 
answered.  And our first questioner is Mrs Edith Russell.  Mrs Russell what 
would you like to ask? 
 
EDITH RUSSELL:                         Yes, which party can I vote for that 
would guarantee we will never go into a Single Currency and if there is a 
referendum which of you will campaign for a vote against? 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Chancellor, can you..is it your party 
that will guarantee they'll never go in.  It is the only one of this lot isn't 
it. 
 
KENNETH CLARKE:                        No, it's not because as I repeated 
yestersday we have a policy of deciding that in the national interest at the 
right time which I think is identical to both of the other parties, or almost 
indistinguishable.  Going back to what you started on, just to put that into context.  Yesterday I did a press conference and I started by saying that the 
issue of the Election was: it's the economy stupid.  And I made a long 
statement about the economy and then what I found was that the national 
obsession with the Single Currency took over and I re-stated our policy again.  
Let's put them together, I think the key thing in the Election is how do you 
keep Britain the best performing western European major industrial economy. 
How do you keep unemployment falling, how do you keep living standards rising 
and how do you keep Britain a leading power in the world. That is how we should 
look at the argument about the Single Currency.  When the time comes we have to 
decide will this keep the major international investment that comes to Europe 
flying into the United Kingdom if we join or if we don't.  Will this help us to 
create the conditions in which British business can create more jobs or not, if 

 
we join or if we don't.  Will our living standards go on rising faster than 
they're rising elsewhere in the Continent if we join or if we don't. And I 
won't give a longer answer.   
 
                                       I continue to repeat, I always have, 
that I could be on either side of that question. Until we know which countries 
are joining, and what the state of their economies is and what basis they're 
going to run a Single Monetary Policy it is not in the national interest to 
make that decision. And one thing I make quite clear I'm flatly against handing 
over control of tax to Europe, flatly against controlling handing over control 
of public spending to Europe, so is every other European Finance Minister I 
know; no-one's even suggesting that.  And the narrow issue of Monetary policy 
and the currency, eventually we should make a decision on the grounds of 
national interest when we know a lot more about it.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              And Mrs Beckett, couldn't put much 
between that position and your position could you? 
 
MARGARET BECKETT:                      No you couldn't. We are also flatly 
opposed to any change in the way taxation policy, public spending policy is 
handled but you said quite specifically could we guarantee that under a Labour 
Government Britain would never go into a Single Currency.  No we can't 
guarantee that because our view - very strongly - is that it has to be 
Britain's interest that is the key determinant in the decision first that is 
taken by the Cabinet of the day, then that it is put to Parliament and then in 
what Tony Blair has called the "Triple Lock" would have to come to the verdict 
of the people.  And you ask secondly....
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Just explain what the Triple Lock is for 
people who don't know.  
 
BECKETT:                               A decision in the Cabinet to recommend 
that it was thought to be in Britain's interests on balance and to recommend 
entry and then a decision...that decision put to and endorsed by Parliament and 
then, of course, that decision put to the people for their final say.  So that 
is very much our view.  You ask which of us would campaign for a vote against. 
Well, of course, the question wouldn't arise unless it was thought to be in the 
national interest that the vote should be For.  This time I would be on a 
different side.  When we last had a referendum on whether or not Britain should 
stay in the European Union I campaigned and campaigned very strongly that we 
should not go into what was then the European Economic Community. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Were you wrong? 
 
BECKETT:                               One of the...I think some of the fears 
that we had have not turned out to be true but the whole position has 
completely changed. We were talking then about joining a community of six 
countries, we're now in fifteen and rising. The countries with whom we were in 
partnership then, the EFTA countries and so on are themselves either members or 
on the way in.  But one thing I would say to you that I find quite 
extraordinary about this debate and I think the others will confirm this, 
everything that's being said now by people say in the Referendum Party about 
how all of this was unforeseen, about how none of this was mentioned, I'm 
afraid it's not so.  It was all spelt out, it was all discussed and aired. 
People may or may not have decided to take it seriously but it was all on the 
table twenty-two years ago and now we have made our decision, it's how do we 
make the best of where we are now.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Malcolm Bruce, your position is 
different because you start off predisposed to going into a Single European 
Currency because you are much more European than either of the other two 

 
parties, right? 
 
MALCOLM BRUCE:                         In principle. I think you've got to ask 
two questions. First of all, there is a discussion about a referendum because 
the Liberal Democrats were actually the first party to commit themselves to a 
referendum on the issue of a transfer of powers that a Single Currency would 
represent.  So a referendum is something that we accept on the grounds that it 
is such a change, it wouldn't be in our economic interest to go in if it was 
thought that we might pull out later because we didn't have the consent of the 
people. So we do think that's important.  But we've made it also quite clear 
that you should look at why the whole issue of Monetary Union is being advanced 
and why thirteen members of the European Union are convinced that it's 
something which is a goal to be won and what they believe is that it will give 
them greater stability, lower interest rates, lower inflation and a better 
climate for investment.  Now if that is something we can win it is our view 
that is worth having.   
 
                                       The question you have to address is 
under what conditions would it be in Britain's interest to join and in our view 
if the convergence criteria are met and no fudged by the founder member 
countries, if we in Britain meet the criteria and if the people of Britain have 
backed that in a referendum supported by the Government of the day, then we 
should go in and I think there's two questions arise from that. Will the Labour 
Party tell you under what conditions they would recommend staying in or going 
out?  And I have to say I genuinely respect Ken Clarke's position, which is 
very close to mine and to ours.  What I can't understand is how he can stay in 
a party where two thirds of his candidates have said they will not back his 
line and he couldn't deliver it.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Answer that Mr Clarke? 
 
CLARKE:                                Well.....what I keep doing is restating 
the party's policy... 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Yeah, because a lot of people say you 
don't believe it.  You see, that's the point. 
 
CLARKE:                                I do.  Now I always get accused of being 
divisive when I repeat it. 
 
BRUCE:                                 No, he believes it.  It's the candidates 
who don't! 
 
CLARKE:                                Oh, no, no.  I give it back...a Party's 
policy and I think so but the Labour Party, rather reluctantly, came along and 
fell in with it, although Margaret is a very reluctant convert.  You do have a  
genuine choice here. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Oh, she admitted that. 
 
CLARKE:                                Margaret carried on arguing we should 
leave the European Union a very long time after the last referendum.  She's a 
very late convert to the cause of the European Union. 
 
BECKETT:                               Only fifteen years ago - yes. 
 
CLARKE:                                So far as the difference between Malcolm 
and myself is concerned, there is a difference.  He says that they are 
predisposed as of - as he says - thirteen other governments in Europe to join 
if they can possibly get the conditions right, and so on.  I think, it is  a 
more open question.   

 
 
                                       Nobody ever takes any notice of my 
saying - and, I have repeated it for the last couple of years - that I believe 
in certain circumstances that we should stay out.  If they fudge the 
Convergence criteria - to use part of the jargon. 
 
BRUCE:                                 Well, so would we.   
 
CLARKE:                                So would you.  Well, that's - we 
converge in the middle. 
 
BRUCE:                                 No, you haven't.  I don't think so.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              But, the problem, Mr Clarke- 
 
CLARKE:                                At this stage, we have to decide to keep 
ourselves involved.  We should be a leading Member of the European Union.  We 
shouldn't be imagining European plots against us.  We should be realising we 
are competing very well - first time in my lifetime against Germans and French 
- and, we should have as much influence as them- 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              The trouble is- the trouble is- 
 
CLARKE:                                -and we should reserve the right- 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              The trouble is those-those plots are in 
the minds of your own members, aren't they?  Of your own supporters?  Within 
you've got more - more than two hundred Conservative candidates saying: we 
won't accept that position!  
 
CLARKE:                                Well, well, the plotting line - and, I 
think, it's arising largely out of the campaigning of the Referendum Party and 
the position of quite a number of the Right-wing newspapers.  But- 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Well, I'll just mention to you one of 
the Conservative candidates! 
 
CLARKE:                                All I'm doing is setting out the policy. 
I-I believe and the last opinion poll I saw on this was the most encouraging 
I've seen so far.  Over seventy per cent of the public.  One opinion poll said 
we should leave the question open and decide it in the national interest.  I 
don't think most of the members of the public I meet think they know enough 
about it!  I think, they're likely- 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Alright.  Well, let me ask you a 
question that I think brings (phon) people- 
 
CLARKE:                                ...decide on the question at a sensible 
time and we agreed - oh, well over twelve months ago - have a referendum - if 
we decide, the Government decides that we want to go in.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Let me ask you a question, then, 
that-that-I think, perhaps, most people will understand because it's a very 
simple one and it has to do with the survival of Britain as a nation state.  Do 
you believe that the survival of Britain as a nation state is at risk because 
of what is going to be on the agenda at the Inter-Governmental Conference of 
all the Members of the European Union in Amsterdam in June.  Do you accept 
that? 
 
CLARKE:                                No, I don't. 
 

 
HUMPHRYS:                              Well, Michael Howard, the Home 
Secretary, does. 
 
CLARKE:                                I don't think the survival-I don't think 
the survival of Britain as a nation state is at risk from our membership of the 
European Union and I just don't hold that view.  But, what I do think is at 
risk is whether or not we can be a leading - if not the leading - European 
power in the next century, beyond the Millennium.  I think, we are catching up.  We are going to overtake in economic power quite a lot of our European 
neighbours.  I think, we have a big role in the world to play and, I think, 
everything depends on our sustaining our economic success.   
 
                                       Where I do agree with all my colleagues 
is big, big issues are at stake in the Inter-Governmental Conference at 
Amsterdam; that a big, big question arises over Monetary Union, if all the 
others are - it seems clear - are going to go ahead with it.  And, it is 
extremely important that the right person is engaged in those negotiations.  I- 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              But, you- 
 
CLARKE:                                I've had more rows with other Europeans. 
I've been isolated in councils of Ministers - different councils for the last 
eighteen years. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Isolated in the Cabinet, too!  
CLARKE:                                The two things is to win the important 
things for this country. 
 
BRUCE:                                 But, how can you do that, Ken, if your 
Party won't back you?  You have a situation where- 
 
CLARKE:                                Well, that's over.  
 
BRUCE:                                 Yes, but if the Conservatives were to 
win this Election - which, admittedly, doesn't look likely - but if they were, 
it would be winning it with a majority of candidates who have campaigned in the 
Election saying: they will not under any circumstances go in for European 
Union.  Your position is open, honest, understood, it's practical, it's in 
touch with business and economic interests but your Party's deserted you.  How 
can you stay there? 
 
CLARKE:                                Well, I don't think-there are rather 
more of the Party than usually appear in these head counts.  If you just look 
back at what's happened.  When we had all these arguments - and I won't dwell 
on this, over twenty odd years ago - I was in the House when we had the vote in 
principle, which like all the big European issues was decided on a free vote on 
cross-Party issues.  If Margaret had been there, she would have been voting 
vehemently against our ever joining in the first place.  So, did a lot of 
Conservatives, as I recall.  
 
                                       We are now a more powerful nation than 
we were then.  We are a more successful nation than we were then.  I have taken 
part in countless European rows over the years.  In particular, when I was 
Employment Minister ten years ago, I was arguing against what is now the Social 
Chapter - its over-regulated labour markets, against all the things that the 
Germans and the French and the Belgians can now see-  
 
HUMPHRYS:                             Yeah.  Right.  
 
CLARKE:                                -are costing them jobs.  

 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Right. 
 
CLARKE:                                Our flexible labour markets inside 
Europe show what we're gonna achieve and we're showing the rest of them what 
we can achieve. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Yeah.  Difficult for you, isn't it, 
Margaret Beckett, because you have changed your position? 
 
BECKETT:                               No, I don't find it in the slightest bit 
difficult.  The British people made a decision.  That decision was 
overwhelmingly endorsed at the following General Election and the whole 
circumstances - that was, as I say, the initial thing was over twenty years 
ago, all the circumstances have changed.  All our links are now with Europe, 
our trade is very heavily with Europe, the countries with whom we were 
previously associated outside Europe are, themselves, Members.   
 
                                       And, indeed, I think, it's actually-I 
think, it is actually going to be more difficult for Britain to lose, in terms 
of people's concern about our degree of control over our own affairs now than 
it was when there were only six or seven.  You cannot - it seems to me - create 
the kind of structure out of fifteen, maybe going on eighteen, states that you 
could if you were only talking six or seven - but, that's the past and I'm not 
really bothered about that.  I'm perfectly happy to talk about the future, as 
well as about the past.  
 
                                       And, Ken Clarke said something very 
revealing there: he said what was important was whether you had the right 
person involved in what I entirely agree are these very key negotiations and I 
think what is absolutely crystal clear from the last few days is that no one in 
a Conservative Government is the right person to attempt to carry out those 
negotiations because they don't know what Party they're negotiating for, they 
don't know who's on their side or against them.  They cannot fight for Britain 
because they're much too busy fighting each other - practically, as far as I 
can see, to the death.   
 
                                       And, the notion that Ken Clarke or-He 
said they always have backed me so far. This is the man who was called Joe 
Bloggs by his Prime Minister, who said - 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              What! 
 
BECKETT:                               Who said he wouldn't be reappointed, 
probably as Chancellor of the Exchequer- 
 
CLARKE:                                No, I wasn't! 
 
BECKETT:                               If that's backing!  My goodness, Ken! 
 
CLARKE:                                Steady on!  You're getting worse than 
The Sunday Telegraph on...                                               
 
BECKETT:                               Impossible, impossible. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Alright!  Alright, on that thought we 
will go to a question about tax from Mr Pattison. 
 
MR PATTISON:                           Good Afternoon.  Under which one of you 
will ordinary people be paying less tax in five years' time? 
                                                   

 
HUMPHRYS:                              Right.  Five years' time, less tax - 
from you Mrs Beckett - well not you personally, but the Labour Party - if 
you're in power.                            
 
BECKETT:                               If we become the government ordinary 
people will see a reduction in VAT on fuel, they will not see the rate of their 
income tax put up.  As it becomes possible we will start to try and introduce 
the starting rate - a lower starting rate of ten pence, because we do recognise 
that people when they do come into the tax bracket, do start to pay more, and 
so we believe that that does mean that ordinary people will be treated much 
more fairly under the tax system...                                        
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Will pay less tax was the question,
 
BECKETT:                               ... than they are today
                                    
HUMPHRYS:                              Will they pay less tax after five years 
was the question. 
 
BECKETT:                               Well, we start getting then into 
territory about whether or not this is against inflation and so on and so on, 
but yes, certainly the whole thrust and direction of our approach to tax policy 
is to recognise that it is ordinary people, I think the latest figures are 
everybody on under sixty-four thousand pounds a year, which may include most, 
not all of us in this room - ordinary people are now paying more in tax, 
they're paying more in Income Tax and National Insurance and in indirect taxes, 
and it's that direction that we want to reverse, so that ordinary people are 
not paying more. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Right, so you are going to do all the 
things you say you're going to do, and they're going to end up paying less tax? 
 
BECKETT:                               What I'm saying is that our - all our 
tax policies lead us in the direction of more fairness for ordinary families, 
not of an increase in their tax burden, which is actually built into Mr 
Clarke's spending programme. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Malcolm Bruce, you obviously can't give 
us that answer because you tell us you want us to pay more tax, you want us to 
pay a penny more tax income for education and all the rest of it, so we're 
bound to pay more tax under your lot. 
 
BRUCE:                                 Well, no, you're not, because the 
proposals that we're putting up, fifty per cent of tax-payers will actually be 
better off under our proposals, but fifty per cent will pay more.  Because what 
we're proposing is two things, one, because people are concerned about health 
and education and the need to put money into it - we alone of the three parties 
are prepared to commit money to those and to ensure that we do get nursery 
education for every three and four-year old, smaller class sizes, that we do 
get more books and equipment and help with special needs education, that we do 
get more nurses and doctors and we do get free eye tests and we do get free 
dental check-ups and a freeze on prescription charges, all paid for by specific 
costed tax increases.   
                                        
                                       But we also believe that the people who 
have high earnings in this country should make a contribution to helping people 
on low earnings, which is why we propose a fifty per cent tax rate on earnings 
over a hundred thousand pounds, which will use to raise tax allowances by two 
hundred pounds.  That takes half a million people currently paying tax out of 
tax altogether, and it means that half the tax-payers will actually be better 
off under our proposals, even though they're getting investment in health and 

 
education that Labour and the Conservatives are denying them. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Chancellor, less tax - five years? 
 
CLARKE:                                Well, certainly compared with either of 
the other two, without a doubt.  I think it's quite an easy question for me. 
What ..... 
 
HUMPHRYS                               Haven't done it for the last five years. 
 
CLARKE:                                Yes, we have indeed.  No, no, tax 
depends on the level of public spending, and tax depends on your ability to 
control public spending, complicated because we've also got to get down to the 
level of public borrowing, and the figures last week showed that we are.  You 
have to do all those things because that's the way of keeping recovery in 
place, that's where you'll get more jobs, that's where you'll keep inflation 
down, that's the way you'll keep on out-performing our rivals in international 
economy, and I have delivered very tight control of public spending in which I 
always increase spending on health, on education and the police service, three 
priorities which have to get more money within what can be afforded, and that 
is what we will continue to do.  I've published my plans and as and when, but 
only when we can afford it, the scope for more tax reducations - I believe in 
tax reductions, not as a way of just helping out, you know, getting votes.  I 
believe in tax reductions because one reason why we succeed as a country is 
when a much lower tax economy, particularly direct taxation, than we used to be 
in former decades.   We used to see it as a July budget coming from the Labour 
Party.  (sic).  The windfall tax is raising taxation.  They're going to spend 
all that money - they're billions of pounds short on their other promises, they 
generally are - there's.....a very respected journalist today showing their 
education policies are billions of pounds short of any funds they, over any 
funds they can raise.  The July budget which a new Labour government if we have 
one will introduce a few weeks after the election will not only have a windfall 
tax which you'll all pay - it won't just be paid by fat cats.... 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Alright, don't dwell on it.  We'll deal 
with a windfall tax later. 
 
CLARKE:                                As for Malcolm, he admits he would raise 
tax.  I mean the Liberals again.  We're being very polite to each other 
Malcolm, very bad for us (phon), you at least admit that you're going to raise 
taxation, but boy, you don't half spend it...(talking together)..
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Let me ask Margaret Beckett, and this is 
not asking you to anticipate the July budget, because I know you won't do that 
apart from windfall tax which we've heard about. 
 
BECKETT:                               We haven't won the election yet. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              If you find, and indeed you haven't won 
the election - if you find, if you are in power, that the Labour government has 
a bit more money in the coffers than it thought it might have had, borrow a bit 
less - would you use that money to spend it on public services or to reduce the 
national debt, or to cut taxes?   Now that's a matter of principle, it's not a 
specific question about what policies you've got, but as a matter of principle 
what would you do - what are your priorities. 
 
BECKETT:                               Well, I will frankly concede that I 
haven't given that a great deal of thought... 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              A hugely important question.
 

 
BECKETT:                               No, because the notion that we might 
inherit a better financial situation from the Conservatives than we anticipate 
is something that hasn't actually crossed my mind. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              But you keep telling us how much better 
you're going to do than they, so you may find yourself with more money than you 
thought you were going to have. 
 
BECKETT:                               I'm afraid, contrary to what Ken Clarke 
says about how wonderfully well we're doing, I think we are very very nervous 
indeed that our financial position is not as sound as he says, (INTERRUPTION) 
and I believe we need the room for.... 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              .... or the year after that.  What are 
your priorities.  Is it to spend money or what? 
 
BECKETT:                               Ah well, that's a slightly different 
context.  I take your point completely.  Yes, no, the reason that we have to 
have a July budget is because we need the Windfall Tax. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              I understand that.  
 BECKETT:                               In order to start our programme of 
employment and training. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Talk about that later but this 
question.. 
 
BECKETT:                               We've also made it very very plain that 
as that begins to release resources education will be our priority. We've got 
obviously the very earliest pledge where we think by phasing, well we know 
that by phasing out the Assisted Places Scheme we can cut class sizes in 
primary schools but we also want to increase the opportunity of nursery places 
and to do more elsewhere in education. So that is very much our priority. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Ah right. So the priority is not to cut 
taxes, or indeed to cut the national debt. Your priority, first priority, if 
you've got any spare money at any stage is to spend it on education. 
 
BECKETT:                               I wouldn't say - at any stage - as time 
goes on, that room for manoeuvre  becomes greater we may find that we're able 
to improve education and also begin this start.  You see we take very much the 
view that creating a new climate in which people feel it is very much to their 
advantage to work and there is real work and employment available is what needs 
to happen.  Now one of the things that we think would help with that is a new 
starting rate, a lower starting rate of tax of ten pence.  So that is something 
else that we will be looking at to try and do because we want to encourage 
people back into work because we think that in itself is important. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Chancellor, a clear question, if there's 
spare money it will go on education.  In your case - no, no, don't deal with 
what Mrs Beckett just said if you would - in your case, if you had that spare 
money, where is your priority - the priority? 
 
CLARKE:                                The spare money is not there if we're 
going to get to a balanced budget by the end of the century or to Gordon 
Brown's aims, although in fact it's going better than I forecast at the Budget, 
as the Public Borrowing figures last year...last week showed. We are well on 
course as things stand.  My priorities, I've always...demonstrated in four 
Budgets, even my first two very tough Budgets, more money for health, more 
money for education, more money for the police service. The other two tried to 

 
over bid that but the laws of mathematics have just been abandoned by Margaret. 
She's giving out money here, there and everywhere. She's old Labour, she needs 
the progressive tax to spend more. 
 
BECKETT:                               Ridiculous. Listen my tax plans added up 
at the last Election it was yours that didn't.  
 
(LAUGHTER AND APPLAUSE FROM THE AUDIENCE) 
 
CLARKE:                                Let's take Tony Blair's....I took part 
in a lot of Election debates last time. There's not a quote on me that anybody 
can hold against me.  If you look at Tony Blair's contract with Britain, a 
glimmick he's borrowed from Newt Gingrich of all people. But anyway the first 
item, the first item of Tony Blair's contract with Britain is to increase the 
amount we spend on education as a proportion of GDP. Now somebody's done a 
calculation, a newspaper today which I can't fault, showing... 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Can we do that later.  
 
CLARKE:                                Up to ten billion pounds going to 
spend on that.   
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Forgive me for trying to shout you down 
but do leave that for a moment because I promise you we are coming back to 
that.  Just be quite clear, your priority, if there's a bit of extra money 
sloshing around is to spend it on education not to cut taxes. And you Malcolm 
Bruce would take much the same view I gather.  
 
BRUCE:                                 We've don't both.   
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Well I'm asking you about the future, 
not about the past.  
 
BRUCE:                                 I think the Chancellor is a little too 
complacent because he says borrowing is coming down very well. Borrowing is 
still running at twenty-four billion pounds, that's what his government claim 
is the peak of an economic boom. When Nigel Lawson was at the peak of an 
economic boom for which we all paid for later, he was repaying debt. He had a 
net surplus. The borrowing is too high and that's why interest rates are so 
high and would be..will be even higher after the Election because the 
Chancellor has not acted on the Bank's advice. But that being the case the 
priority must be to keep borrowing down and to bring it down and to balance it 
over the cycle. That's why you have to find more money if you are going to 
deliver a difference on health and education which Labour won't. And indeed 
Labour have adopted the Conservative Party's spending framework in their 
manifesto they say for the next two years Labour will work within the 
departmental ceilings for spending already announced.  How on earth are they 
going to make a difference in health and education if they're going to be
implementing Tory spending plans.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Quick answer to that Margaret Beckett. 
 
BECKETT:                               We've made it plain change priorities. 
For example, phrasing out the Assisted Places Scheme pays for those places in 
primary schools.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Okay, we said we'd come to the Windfall 
Tax. We are now, Jonathan Ashley has a question about that. 
 
JONATHAN ASHLEY:                       I work in a private pensions market and 
like most pension funds we invest in the shares of companies such as water, gas 

 
and BT.  Is it not so that it will be ordinary people that are investing for 
their old age that will be hit by the Windfall Tax on those companies and not 
just the fat cats? 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              It is isn't it Mrs Beckett? 
 
BECKETT:                               No, because all the evidence, as I am 
sure you are well aware, you did say you are in the City, all the evidence from 
the City is that people are fully aware of our plans for a Windfall Tax, as 
they should be, they've been around for long enough, and that they are 
completely discounted in the share price.  Indeed, only last week, the American 
purchaser of one of the, I think it was one of the Electricity Companies, said 
quite openly and bluntly that yes he knows all about the Windfall Tax, it's in 
the share price and he doesn't expect it to have a major impact and as we get 
nearer and nearer to the Election that is more and more universally the 
response and indeed, we've made it plain that of course we would consult the 
regulators about implementation of the tax and the Electricity Regulator has 
specifically said that of course he wouldn't allow it to be taken out of the 
hands of customers. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Malcolm Bruce. 
 
BRUCE:                                 Well I think it's unreasonable to 
believe you can take billions of pounds out of privatised utilities and have no 
effect on the economies of those businesses.  That doesn't make sense. The 
problem is that the windfalls were taken several years ago and the people 
who've taken those windfalls have now gone. 
 
                                       There's something wrong, in principle, 
about a Windfall Tax because it's retrospective.  It's supposed to be a one-off 
but the Tories had one once so you have the problem that people now begin to 
see this as a norm and that will cause uncertainty in other sectors.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              The Tories was on the banks and they hit 
them at the time when they were making the big profits that's the difference. 
 
BRUCE:                                 Of course but there's still a principle 
at stake.   They did hit them at the time, rather than a long time afterwards - 
that's true.  But, the reality is if you take money out of those utilities, it 
could hit investment, which could prejudice electricity supply and water supply 
or it could hit dividends, which could affect pensions, or it could hit prices, 
or a combination of all of those things and to take billions of pounds out of 
an industry and assume it has no impact is not credible.  It is a fig leaf to 
disguise the fact that Labour does not have a credible means of funding the 
promises it's making to the Electorate and indeed it's a one-off.  So what 
happpens in years two, three, four and five - the Labour Party won't tell us.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Well what happens in years two, three, 
four and five? 
 
BECKETT:                               We've made it very plain that this is a 
proposal for funds which will kickstart a programme which is widely - 
universally, in fact - believed will in the longterm, be self-financing.  But, 
another way of putting what Malcolm Bruce is saying is the Liberals don't want 
to tax the privatised utilities.  They'd rather tax you. 
 
BRUCE:                                 No, we'll tax them fairly, on the basis 
of what they've earnt.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Ken Clarke, they've had a pretty good 
run for their money, haven't they? 

 
 
CLARKE:                                Well, I don't think Margaret's answer to 
either Malcolm or the questioner - "well, perhaps, the share price has already 
gone down, so we've already done the damage".. 
BECKETT:                               I didn't say 'perhaps'. 
 
CLARKE:                                ...is very, very, very.. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              She said it had been discounted.  
 
BECKETT:                               That's what the city says. 
 
CLARKE:                                Discounted, by which she means they've 
already dropped, which I don't think is necessarily the case, and I think, 
consumers know this will be affected. You can't have billions of pounds' worth 
of levy in this way - doesn't have an affect on - not only the Pension Funds, 
who are invested in them - but the cost to the consumers as well.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              But you did it to the banks.  
 
CLARKE:                                When the banks made all those profits 
over ten years ago, the banks...it wasn't anything the banks really did, except 
interest rates went up to levels which I'm glad to say I have put far behind us 
in this country and they just automatically made money without having to do 
anything.  What the utilities did was they were sold at what was then believed 
to be the market value and they brought down the cost to consumers, changed 
their business a lot and now the Opposition turn round and say they look a bit 
too profitable, we're going to get a levy out of them.  That's a very dangerous 
tax.   
 
                                       The pensions impact is important because 
the best hope we have for steadily raising the prosperity of people in 
retirement in this country in future, comes from the fact that more and more of 
us are in funded pension funds.  And people in this country have got to 
understand there is no disconnnection between the performance of shares and the 
performance of stocks and the performance of private companies and their own 
pension fund and their pension's expectations.  And for the Labour Party to 
sort of dismiss that kind of thing shows that they are a very backward looking 
Party.  The fact they won't really tell us about the Windfall Tax shows that 
this July Budget is shrouded in a total mystery, which ought to alarm most 
members of the public. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Loads of unanswered questions about it, 
Mrs Beckett.  
 
BECKETT:                               I thought Budgets were supposed to be 
shrouded in a degree of mystery. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Sorry? 
 
BECKETT:                               I thought Budgets were supposed to be 
shrouded in a degree of mystery.  I remember you... 
 
CLARKE:                                Well, I'm not going to have one. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              You're not going to have one! 
 
CLARKE:                                'Till November. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Oh!
BECKETT:                               He means in July. 

 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              I thought that was an admission then. 
 
CLARKE:                                I'm not going to have an emergency 
Budget in July.   You can have me as Chancellor, there is no Windfall Tax, no 
tax increases. I haven't got plans until next November's Budget.  They've got 
plans for ten weeks away and they won't even tell you which companies are going 
to pay the Windfall Tax.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Why not, Mrs Beckett? 
 
CLARKE:                                There are more alarming things than that 
that they won't tell you. 
 
BECKETT:                               Because as Ken Clarke knows perfectly 
well - and I don't know why he puts on this silly act (LAUGHTER).  Chancellors 
do not draw up legislation which name company x, y and z.  What they do is set 
categories and then within those categories you see who is affected and as I 
say, we will discuss that with the regulator.  But there are just another of 
couple of very brief points that I want to make.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Very brief.  
 
BECKETT:                               First of all, every time the focus comes 
on the utility companies - whether it's a potential takeover or something of 
that kind - suddenly, they turn out to be awash with hundreds of millions of 
pounds of money they never mentioned before.  And Malcolm Bruce talked about 
their investment programme.  Many of the companies in these sectors are being 
heavily criticised by their regulators for their failure to keep up the 
investment programmes for which they have taken money from the customers.   
 
BRUCE:                                 But they won't be able to do it if 
you take the money off them in tax.  
 
BECKETT:                               Malcolm, they have got money they have 
not spent on investment.  
 
BRUCE:                                 But, you're going to take it off them, 
so that will affect the investment.  
 
BECKETT:                               They've got money that they have put 
aside in preparation for the Windfall Tax.  
 
BRUCE:                                 No. 
 
BECKETT:                               You want them to keep it, we want to use 
it to create jobs.  
 
BRUCE:                                 No, we want them to invest it.   We want 
them to invest it.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Question about unemployment from Sean 
Cronan.  
 
SEAN CRONAN:                           Yes.  Can any of you offer us the 
perspective of getting unemployment below one million?   
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Offer the prospect of getting 
unemployment below one million.   It's way above it at the moment - about one 
point seven, one point eight.  Malcolm Bruce. 
 

 
BRUCE:                                 Well it's, in fact, probably over two 
million because you've got hundreds of thousands of people who are actively 
seeking work that the Government doesn't count in their unemployment figures.  
They know they're unemployed, but the Government doesn't count them.   
 
(APPLAUSE FROM THE AUDIENCE) 
 
BRUCE:                                 I'm not going to suggest to you that 
there's an easy solution.  If there was, I hope we would be implementing it and 
we wouldn't have unemployment in other countries.  So, I think, people who do 
offer you simple solutions are being simplistic, by definition.  But, what I do 
think we have to do is ensure that in this country, which depends for its 
livelihood on trading our goods and services, we have a highly skilled, 
well-trained and educated workforce and it's our belief that we need to do two 
fundamental things.   
 
                                       One, is to invest in our education, 
which is woefully below standard, to ensure that our school-leavers are 
trainable and ready to be part of a successful economic workforce and for 
employees to be required to give them the kind of training that will skill them 
to make this nation competitive. 
 
                                       Secondly, we need to ensure that people 
who are long-term unemployed, who haven't got the skills are given means of 
getting back into work, by enabling them to take their benefit with them into a 
job which gives them the opportunity to get into work experience and the 
employer as an incentive to give them the skills because they get a 
contribution from the benefit that will make them a valuable member of that 
company.  And, in that way, with a good economic policy, with stable low 
inflation, low interest rates and good investment and a skilled trained 
workforce, we can compete in the world and bring unemployment down.   
 
                                       But, to do that you've got to invest in 
Education, you've got to invest in Training and that is why the Liberal 
Democrats have said that that is our overwhelming priority and it needs the 
money now, which is why we, alone, are prepared to say we'll put taxes up to 
fund the investment so this country can bring down unemployment and compete in 
the world - the others will only promise but they will not deliver. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Margaret Beckett, it used to be the 
Labour Party's firm pledge, top of the list of priorities to create full 
employment - don't hear that anymore.  
 
BECKETT:                               No, I don't think that's either true or 
fair.  We are committed to high and stable levels of employment. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Higher - not full employment? 
 
BECKETT:                              Well, to getting towards full employment, 
but we are very mindfull of exactly the point that Malcolm Bruce made right at 
the outset.  You set a target of a million, but of course, I think there are 
those who argue that it's something more like three to four million.  I mean 
when Ken Clarke was tallking earlier on about comparisons with France and 
Germany and elsewhere, as some recent report from I think the Hong Kong 
and Shanghai Bank has looked at levels of unemployment, and suggested if you 
are comparing like with like and looking at all of those people who like work - 
who are seeking work - you're looking at figures far higher even than on the 
official figures in France and Germany.   You could be looking at maybe, 
certainly two - maybe three, maybe four million, so it's a very high target 
that you're setting, and I think all any of us can honestly say is that it is a 
very high priority for us to create employment.  That it has to be with a 

 
training element, because people do need those extra skills in order for 
themselves as individuals and the companies they work for and the country to 
prosper.  But it's also very important that we break the part of the cynicism 
that's been engendered where training's become almost a dirty word because 
people regard it as a makeshift simply to keep them out of the unemployment 
figures, and providing good employment opportunities, real employment, and real 
high level skill training is very very important for that reason. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              But an old Labour Government, if I'm 
allowed to use that expression, might have said, would have said: We'll spend 
money on this and if it means borrowing a bit more, even risking inflation a 
little bit, we will do it because we believe in creating employment.  We don't 
hear that from you. 
 
BECKETT:                               What you hear from us now is that we are 
absolutely determined not to run any risks with the promises that we make.  Of 
course we can say if things go better than we fear, we hope to be able to do 
more, but people feel so much that they've been let down by politicians, feel 
so much that their confidence has been betrayed, that we are absolutely 
determined to make concrete promises that we know we can deliver and then to 
sketch out the direction in which we can go if we're able to do more. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Ken Clarke, the worrying thing surely 
you accept this, is that unemployment is still historically very high indeed - 
one point seven - even if we accept your figure which they don't - but we
accept your figure, and yet we've been in a boom, the economy has been growing 
for three or four years apparently.  What on earth is going wrong - why is .. 
 
CLARKE:                                It's happened in most western 
countries.  I won't give you a long academic reply, but certainly it is 
historically high, it's too high, and in answer to the question, the honest 
answer is I can't give you a guarantee it will come below a million, but I'd 
very much like to continue trying to get it down to the lowest possible level 
consistent with our having growth and low inflation and keeping our present 
rising prosperity lasting.  And it's come down all the time I've been 
Chancellor.   The argument about the figures is frankly a rather silly 
diversion.   We do produce two lots of official figures.  We produce the 
claimant figures, and we also produce what are known as labour force surveys 
used by every other developed country across the world. Both of them are moving 
down in parallel, they come to slightly different... 
 
BRUCE:                                 But three hundred thousand different Ken, three hundred thousand is a lot of people. 
 
CLARKE:                                No, but they're moving in the same 
direction.  I mean if you're trying to judge macro-economic policy and putting
that plain Malcolm, to pretend the British labour market is not tightening and 
that the number of jobs is not increasing all the time and unemployment coming 
down is to argue an absurdity.  The IMF, the OECD, the European Union all 
accept we've got our unemployment down below the levels of others, but we, the 
key thing is how do you keep it going further.  You can't spend your way to 
more jobs which is actually - I don't know why Margaret denied it - the Labour 
Party say the windfall levey will take a quarter of a million off the 
unemployment figures.  I think that's old Labour nonsense.  What you can do is 
keep in place the kind of conditions we have now with a flexible labour market. 
What we don't want is all these old-fashioned Social-Democrat ideas that if you 
have what we call the Social Chapter, what it actually means is all kind of 
restrictions on the way in which you can hire and fire and employ people who 
have a minimum wage at the level that makes any difference to the wages people 
actually earn, you look at the continent and you will see it drives up 
unemployment. 

 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Alright. 
 
CLARKE:                                ...tax and spend. 
 
BRUCE:                                 That isn't true, and the evidence is to 
the contrary and I think the government cannot go along getting away with the 
idea.  The reality is, if you look at comparable studies the levels of 
unemployment in this country are probably nearly as high as France and Germany, 
but we've just changed the way we count them. 
 
CLARKE:                                No, no. 
 
HUMPHRYS                               Alright, let's look at the question of 
job security.  Now Tim Lord has a question on that. 
 
TIM LORD:                              I'm currently employed on a short term 
contract.  Can any of you guarantee me increased job security in the future? 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              When you say a short term contract you 
mean how long? 
 
LORD:                                 One year. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Right, and you regard that as not being 
very secure?   Right, can anybody guarantee?   Chancellor, can you guarantee 
him something longer than that? 
 
CLARKE:                                One of the key things as I say, the next 
Election should be about jobs.  I mean it isn't just "It's the economy 
stupid".  The next election should be about jobs, whether we're talking about 
the economy or we're talking about Europe because we need to keep the nmber of 
jobless going down.  What would be a disaster would be a government to promise 
to legislate to make your contract longer, because fewer people would get 
contracts at all if you go back into that Social Chapter pattern.   I realise 
the desire to make jobs more secure.  Young people like yourself, older 
people in their fifties who can only get sort term contracts when they've lost 
their long-standing job before need more security.  Security comes from the 
real economy, it comes from growth, it comes from what I - I'm slipping into 
jargon today - I talk about tightening the labour market.  What that means is 
more employers are creating jobs and going out looking for people and firms are 
actually shedding jobs to make themselves more competitive, and the more it 
becomes a market for those that are looking for a better job and it's more 
difficult for employers to find the people for the jobs they want then all our 
employment's getting more secure. That is happening now certainly compared with 
two years ago, but we must make sure that lasts, and these two would turn 
what's happened on the last two years completely up on its had (phon) again. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Right, Margaret Beckett, job security, 
that's what we're talking about here.  
 
BECKETT:                               It is yes.  Not for the first time if I 
could just mention what Ken Clarke said about the Social Contract is nonsense. 
It's got nothing whatsoever to do with the Social Contract, but that's par for 
the course. You asked whether anybody can promise you that you would have 
something more than a short term contract and of course it would..no-one can 
because you never can say to one individual yes you'll get a job. All you can 
say is what you can do to make it more likely.  Now, I think there are two 
things that strike me from your situation. One of them is that of course 
it's..it will always be the case, it has always been the case that there might 
be people who found themselves in circumstances like your own but part of what 

 
is important is how confident can you be that at the end of that contract there 
is the possibility of another one.  And while of course we have what's usually 
euphemistically called a flexible labour market in Britain today, what we 
haven't got is what we call flexibility plus. Flexibility plus encouragement 
support, help to get other placements, flexibility plus the training and the 
skills that might enable you to move on should the contract that you're on come 
to an end, and I think one of the things that's happened more widely, the 
second point I want to make, across the workforce is that employers 
have been encouraged to take account only of the short-term advantage to them 
of simply being able to pick people up out of the labour market and let them go 
again without much thought for the consequences. But there are also very great 
advantages in a company and a country that aspires to be the best in the world, 
that aspires to succeed on quality. There are great advantages in having a 
more stable workforce who are being encouraged to develop their own skills and 
capacities and that of your company. And that's something I think we've lost 
sight of and if we can get that cultural change, then indeed the prospects for 
people of your generation and people like you are much better, they're more 
secure and also we think, in the long term, they deliver more for Britain.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Malcolm Bruce, are you worried about job 
security? 
 
BRUCE:                                 I think millions of people are worried 
about job security. I think that the problem I meet in my own constituency, 
because a lot of people are working on..in the oil industry have gone onto 
short term contracts, exactly as the questioner is talking about. And the 
effect of that is first of all they have to pay for their own holiday, they 
have to pay for their own pension, they have to pay for their own sickness 
benefit, they have to pay for their unemployment. It's employers opting out of 
the things that they used to give to long-term employees and that's why there 
isn't a feel-good factor from the Conservative Government's point of view 
because too many people feel insecure in their employment and we do want to 
ensure, for example, that short-time workers and workers on part-time have 
rights as well as responsibilities and I would also suggest that we..because we 
have a proposal that all companies apart from the very small should have a 
obligation to pay two per cent of their turn-over into training, that they 
would then invest that training in their workforce and realise the value of 
retaining people on longer term contracts in order to retain the value of their 
investment. So we hope, that those measures would give people greater 
security.  And I think it's all very well to say that there's lots of jobs 
floating around, but people have to plan their lives, their families, their 
mortgages, and that kind of insecurity is very unsettling indeed.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Well let's continue to talk about 
employment.  Donald Robson has a question about the minimum wage. 
 
DONALD ROBSON:                         I'm a small businessman and many of us 
have to run a tight ship to survive.  If we have a minimum wage won't it 
increase costs so much that some firms..with some firms that people may have 
to be made redundant?  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Commonsense isn't it Margaret Beckett? 
 
BECKETT:                               It's not what has happened in any other 
developed western economy.  Everyone, apart from the United Kingdom, including 
the United States, where recently they've created ten million jobs, has some 
kind of minimum wage or minimum wage protection and indeed in the United 
States, they've managed both to increase the level of that wage and to increase 
the number of jobs simultaneously.  I think what is happening is that as people 
focus more and more on what we're actually saying about a minimum wage and not 
the nonsense that they hear from the Conservatives, they are less and less 

 
frightened of its impact. The Federation of small business at its recent 
conference actually carried a resolution saying yes a minimum wage would be 
acceptable and we're seeing increasing numbers of surveys from various 
management institutions, groups of exporters and so on but there's another side 
of the coin you know, particularly in fact for people who do seek to export, 
people who do run their business by providing quality goods or service and that 
is that a lot of people in small businesses are finding their business 
threatened because cowboys who have..against whom there are no safeguards and 
where there is no level of minimum standard of any kind, are undercutting them 
and driving them out of business.  And again, more people in small businesses 
are realising that as long as it's for everyone there are advantages for them 
too to such a system. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Ken Clarke if those cowboys exist you're 
the ranch hand aren't you? 
 
(LAUGHTER AND APPLAUSE FROM THE AUDIENCE) 
 
CLARKE:                                It's endearing to hear Margaret talk 
about cowboy companies, we used to have all this when we talked about 
privatisation, you always said we're going to hand it all over to cowboys. It's 
again old Labour language I'm afraid Margaret and I thought we'd moved out of 
that.  Seriously on the minimum wage, there are two types of minimum wage that 
exist in the world.  There are ones where the governments allow the minimum wage to fall to such a level that it makes no difference because nobody's going to be paid that little anyway and there are others where governments have 
pitched the minimum wage where it does make a difference, above what employers 
would otherwise pay and when you have that kind of minimum wage it drives up 
unemployment, as you can see from quite a lot of the continental countries and 
it's impossible for people to argue out of that. John Prescott, and to be fair 
to him, gave up trying to argue his way out of that some time ago and I don't 
know why the Labour Party don't face up to it.  They should tell us what level 
it's going to be at, it's another of these things, they know it's a mess so 
they won't tell us what they're thinking of.  They're going to consult, they 
say, but we must know whether it's two pounds or so, three pounds or so, four 
pounds or so, and the more effective in one way you make it, the more you'll 
find the jobs that you say are going to pay that are all vanishing. The best 
example is France I think. France has, I think, if I'm right, I think, I'm 
being cautious, three million and rising unemployed and it has a terrible, 
terrible level of youth unemployment and the French Government recently tried 
to abolish their minimum wage for youth unemployment in order to get their 
youth unemployment down to create some more starter jobs for young people 
coming out of schools.  Riots took place, I'm afraid the French Government 
gave in to the riots, they kept their minimum wage, that's why France's got 
youth unemployment now.
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Let me go, still on this question of 
wages and spending and all that.  Sally Weeks, who is a nurse.  
 
SALLY WEEKS:                           Nurses haven't had a pay rise greater 
than inflation for years. Many are now leaving the profession and I'm one of 
them. Who, out of you, will give nurses a decent pay rise? 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Malcolm Bruce, a decent pay rise she 
wants. 
 
BRUCE:                                 Well we supported the recommendations of 
the pay review body, which was not over generous but was at least in line with 
inflation and are the only one of the three parties that believed that it 
should have been implemented in full and unphased because there was money in 
the budget for that and sadly Labour and the Conservatives decided that was not 

 
good enough. We do take the view that you cannot build a National Health Service which is seventy per cent dependent on its cost on staff if you 
demotivate and demoralise the staff and do what you're doing and drive them 
out.   We do not think that phasing something like that is justified. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              You'd put more money in then would you? 
 
BRUCE:                                 Well, actually, the money was in there.  
That's what's ever more objectionable.  And, I think, that the Chancellor is 
very confident in suggesting that we are in a situation where living standards 
are rising.  That's a proud boast of the Government and if that is the case, 
why should people working in the public sector be denied a share in the rise in 
living standards that's available to other people in the country. They are 
working for the country, on behalf of the whole of the country and they're 
entitled, at least, to share in what is happening elsewhere in the economy and 
the Government and the Labour Party won't even give you that.  
HUMPHRYS:                              Why should they, Chancellor?  Nurses, in 
particular - two and a half per cent pay rise - the rest of us are getting five 
per cent - give or take.  Why should they suffer when the rest of us are doing 
better? 
 
CLARKE:                                They're not suffering.  They will see 
their living standards rise.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              That lady's leaving the profession 
because of you - leaving the NHS completely.  
 
CLARKE:                                No, no.   Well I hate to use the first 
disagreement of fact which I think we've had in this debate, but I mean...I set 
up the nurses pay review - Norman Fowler and I set it up, at the end of a very 
bad strike, shortly after this Government came to power.  Since that time, 
nurses living standards have steadily risen, particularly in comparision with 
most other public sector people.  It was before then they had starvation wages 
and all that.  They're not all leaving. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Why are they leaving, someone says.  
We've got eighteen thousand vacancies unfilled.  
 
CLARKE:                                They're not all leaving.  Turning to 
this year's figures, they're amongst the only people whose pay has gone up 
faster, are nurses in the public sector or doctors. 
 
MALE HECKLER:                          MPs. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              MPs everybody says.  
 
HECKLER:                               Twenty-six per cent. 
 
CLARKE:                                I mean, that's the same with all of us.  
But MPs actually have fallen...risen by far less over the last seven years.  I 
voted against the MPs' pay rise this year - you ask the other two.  No, no, no 
you are trying to divert me onto an amusing topic.  But, all I'm pointing out 
is nurses' pay as a percentage has gone up far faster than any other public 
sector worker, including MP - apart from doctors - since we've been in power. 
 
BRUCE:                                 Why are there so many unfilled 
vacancies? 
 
CLARKE:                                What's happened this year - Malcolm says 
is the money there?  There frankly, isn't.  We've restricted the pay bill 
effect this year to two point four per cent.  The fact that by the end of the 

 
year, the pay bill effect will be two point nine per cent, I think, and the 
inflation is going to fall below two and a half per cent later this year.  
Individual nurses get more than those pay bill figures. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Right.   
CLARKE:                                Individual nurses are going to get 
three/four per cent this year - the whole country has seen living standards 
rise.   
 
BRUCE:                                 They didn't get it last year.  
 
CLARKE:                                They did last year.   
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Let me-  
 
CLARKE:                                Living standards are rising because 
we're now accepting sensible levels of pay rise in line with above low levels 
of inflation. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Right, you make that point.  
 
CLARKE:                                And don't let anybody take us back to 
the days where living standards went up any other way.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Margaret Beckett, you would not give the 
nurses more money either? 
 
BECKETT:                               We are very worried, indeed, about the 
number of nurses leaving the profession and worried, too, about the number of 
people who are not coming in. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Well, being worried is one thing, giving 
them money is another. 
 
CLARKE:                                ....an endorsement- 
 
BECKETT:                               Will you shut up and let me answer the 
question. 
 
(APPLAUSE FROM THE AUDIENCE) 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Well, in case anyone didn't hear the 
Chancellor he said you gave an endorsement to his approach.  
 
CLARKE:                                I agree.  That's what Gordon says with 
me.  
 
BECKETT:                               Sorry about that.  As I was saying.  
And, we're also very worried about the fact that people aren't coming forward 
to train either, which is a very serious source of worry.  Now, Malcolm says 
that the money was there in the Budget to pay the pay increase in full.  And, 
of course, if it had been, that would have been a different matter.  But, it 
was our understanding that it was not there to pay the increase in full and 
that's why the increase was phased.  And, that's the position that we would 
inherit. But, of course, one of the things that-Two things that are making the 
position worse and making it harder, at the moment, which is something a 
different government could change.  First of all, what is making it worse and 
it's a small scale thing but it's the kind of thing that upsets people and 
makes them more likely to take the kind of action you're taking.  And, that's 
when the average pay across Chief Executives goes up by six per cent and yours 
doesn't.  Now, I know that conceals some great variations but it does also 

 
bring with it some - and that really annoys people. 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              The other point quickly, then - the 
other point. 
 
BECKETT:                               The other point is the costs of local 
pay bargaining.  Ken talked about setting up the pay review body and he, in 
particular, both as Secretary of State for Health and as Chancellor has driven 
that pay review body to try and make them recommend - clearly, against their 
will - local pay bargaining.  The RCN suggested that that was going to cost the 
National Health Service something like forty million pounds a year.  I haven't 
seen the latest estimates on what the outcome of that is but that is money that 
could have been used actually to pay more.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Right, let's stay with public spending, 
public services.  Education: Mrs Elizabeth Ashley has a question about that.  
 
ELIZABETH ASHLEY:                      Thank you.  As a teacher, I've seen big 
cuts in school resources, what assurance can you give that there would be no 
more redundancies for teachers, more funding for books and less children to 
each class?    
HUMPHRYS:                              Your extra penny on tax isn't going to 
do all that, Mr Bruce, is it? 
 
BRUCE:                                 It is going to do exactly that.  That's 
entirely what it is focused upon.  Our proposals for putting what would be two 
billion pounds a year, ten billion pounds over a full Parliament into Education 
would be to deliver nursery education for every three to four year old whose 
parents want it, to ensure that there were no class sizes over thirty in 
primary schools one to seven and that the books and equipment were increased.  
 
                                       And, in the first year, a double 
injection of books and equipment in order to make up for the backlog.  That is 
the minimum in our view that Education needs.  It's not a question of to avoid 
cuts.  Even to build back any of the damage that's been done under the 
Conservative Government proposals.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                             Right.  Margaret Becket you said that 
you've attacked the Tories for taking three billion out of the Education 
Budget.  Are you going to put it all back in? 
 BECKETT:                               Well, Malcolm's being too modest 
actually.  They aren't just promising all of that.  They're also promising more 
people in higher education, more people in further education, more of 
everything you could-  
 
BRUCE:                                 Sorry, that is not-That is not out of a 
penny on Income Tax.  
 HUMPHRYS:                              But, deal, if you would - deal with the 
question I just put to you.  
 
BECKETT:                               It's in your Manifesto.   
 
BRUCE:                                 It is not out of the one penny on Income 
Tax.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              You've said-  You've said they've taken 
three billion out.  Are you the-Would a Labour government put it all back in? 
 

 
BECKETT:                               The first step that a Labour Government 
is pledged to take is a step which goes to you at the third part of your 
question, which is to cut class sizes, where by phasing out the Assisted Places 
Scheme we can reduce class sizes in every primary school for five, six and 
seven-year-olds.  Now we understand that that's not by any means the full scale 
of the problem, but that's-The whole point of that particular pledge is that it 
is demonstrating within the resources that are there now that a government 
making different choices can look after all children and not just a few 
children.  You asked about whether or not anybody could pledge there wouldn't 
be more redundancies.  Well, obviously at this moment in time the impact of 
Budget cuts is going through and no one can turn that round in five minutes.   
HUMPHRYS:                              Right.  Right.  A final word from the Chancellor.  Would you turn that around?  Would you say: We've gotta put more 
in? 
 
CLARKE:                                Oh, I do put more in.  I mean I won't 
challenge the- 
 
HUMPHRYS:                              Very briefly, we've got about twenty 
seconds. 
 
CLARKE:                                I thought the mathematics of both my 
colleagues are seriously at fault.   We put more money into schools each year -
we have to ensure it gets passed on to the schools.  We have new proposals to 
make sure Labour, Liberal and other County Councils actually pass onto the 
schools the money that we give them, that the proportion kept at the centre - 
which in a typical County Council is still about a quarter of everything I 
allocate for schools - should in future to a much greater extent be put in the 
hands of the Governors and the Head Teacher so they can spend it on teachers 
and books, which is what I intend it to be spent on.  
 
HUMPHRYS:                              There we must end it.  Kenneth Clarke, 
Malcolm Bruce, Margaret Beckett, thank you all very much indeed.  Next week the 
Deputies have their day.  That's to say Michael Heseltine, John Prescott and 
Alan Beith.   Meanwhile you can keep in touch with us on the politics pages of 
Ceefax starting on Page a-hundred-and-twenty and through our new internet site. 
The address ought to be on your screen now through the magic of technology and 
will appear again at the end of our credits.  Until next week good afternoon. 
 
 
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