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Scottish Polls
Herald/System Three polls:
Latest Polls
2 Sept 1997, Fieldwork: 21-26 August, Sample size: 1039
10 Sept 1997, Fieldwork: 6-7 September, Sample size: 1039
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2 Sept
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10 Sept
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I agree that there should be a Scottish parliament
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61%
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61%
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I do not agree that there should be a Scottish parliament
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23%
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23%
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Don't know
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16%
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19%
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I agree that a Scottish parliament should have tax-varying powers
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47%
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45%
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I do not agree that a Scottish parliament should have tax-varying powers
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32%
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31%
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Don't know
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21%
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24%
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Earlier Polls
31 May 1997, Fieldwork: 22-27 May 1997, Sample size: 1024
10 Jul 1997, Fieldwork: 26 Jun-1 Jul 1997, Sample size: 978
6 Aug 1997, Fieldwork: 24-29 Jul 1997, Sample size: 1024
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May 31
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Jul 10
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Aug 6
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I agree that there should be a
Scottish parliament
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64%
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68%
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65%
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I do not agree that there should be a
Scottish parliament
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21%
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21%
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19%
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Don't know
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15%
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10%
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16%
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I agree that a Scottish parliament should
have tax-varying powers
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53%
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56%
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54%
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I do not agree that a Scottish parliament should
have tax-varying powers
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28%
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26%
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27%
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Don't know
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19%
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18%
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18%
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Poll trends 1985-1996
Herald/System Three and ICM
Sample size for all of these polls was around 1000 respondents.
These tables show trends in support for devolution since 1985 within Scotland. There is very little data from the period between 1979 and 1985 as there was little media interest in the issue. System Three changed their question in the middle of 1996 to make it similar to the one which will be on the ballot paper for the referendum. Previously, respondents were given the choice between independence, devolution and the status quo.
The polls suggest little dramatic shift in opinion over the past decade - a devolved Scottish parliament remains the most favoured option, with independence second and the status quo the third most popular constitutional position.
Question: Do you want:
a completely independent Scottish Parliament separate from England (changed to "A completely independent Scotland" in 1996)
a Scottish Parliament with substantial powers, but within the framework of British government
no change from the present system
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Date published
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In favour of
Scottish parl
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In favour of
independence
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No change
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Don't know
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Nov 96
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44%
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34%
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18%
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5%
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Mar 96
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51%
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25%
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21%
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3%
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Jan 95
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47%
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29%
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20%
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3%
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May 93
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50%
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31%
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16%
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2%
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Nov 91
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43%
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35%
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18%
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4%
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Nov 90
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44%
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33%
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18%
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4%
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Mar 89
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46%
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33%
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17%
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3%
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Aug 88
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42%
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33%
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20%
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6%
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Mar 86
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46%
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34%
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15%
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5%
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Sep 85
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44%
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29%
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21%
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6%
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